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Biotech / Medical : GUMM - Eliminate the Common Cold -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mike M who wrote (1673)11/29/1999 10:08:00 PM
From: Bo Didley  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5582
 
My 4Q estimates

Clearly the wild card is the increase of production beginning mid-Dec to 300,000 units/week

Without the wild card and using a simple production at
180,000/units per week.... (btw: it costs $1.45/unit to produce)

^keeping the gum business the same as Q3
^2M in advertising
^Citadel payments --- I think their plan was to increase payments to get them paid off quickly.

For each additional million Zicam sold, add $700k to the sales. This is where the last 15 days of December will be the wild card, and how those sales are booked.
Dan, have you covered how Zicam sales are booked? That maybe a good thing for the website.

My guestimate...still working on it but one thing is clear,
GUMM is going to be profitable, and more importantly, beginning Q1, they start their entire FUTURE year off profitable. In Q4 release, I hope they give us a hint of how they are doing for Q1.

Only us pseudo-analysts cover GUMM so investors really have no projection to meet. I'm inclined for numbers under 20c/share.

New Investors can read the basics of GUMM at a newly created website: gumminvestors.com

bo