To: Mike Buckley who wrote (11564 ) 11/30/1999 8:02:00 PM From: Mike Buckley Respond to of 54805
The Front Office Gorilla Game: Numbers and a little more The Game began on a lazy Memorial Day weekend in 1998, about 1 1/2 years ago. The numbers are lookin' quite impressive these days: Year-to History History -Date Quarter Month Annualized Gorilla Game 239.61% 209.05% 69.24% 8.45% 123.79% S&P 500 25.09% 12.99% 8.29% 1.92% 16.92% Russell 2000 -1.92% 7.61% 6.27% 5.94% -0.86% The Game began with four stocks in equal allocations. Clarify, Vantive, and Siebel were the primary competitors in the overall CRM category and Remedy was the lone candidate the help desk market. Though Clarify and Vantive gradually became weaker chimps with diminishing hopes for becoming a gorilla, Clarify was in the process of a very successful turn-around that boosted its stock to the point of being a significant portion of the portfolio. Sticking to the strategy of holding chimps lightly, in May I "sold" some Clarify shares and used the funds to "buy" more shares of Remedy and Siebel. Last month, soon after it was announced that Clarify and Vantive will be acquired, I "sold" all of those remaining shares and have not yet deployed the cash. The two stocks still in the Game are performing as follows: % of 5/98 5/99 Average Current 'Folio Buy Price Buy Price Buy Price Price Remedy 23.1% $17.44 $17.50 $17.46 $34.88 Siebel 60.7% $11.50 $19.22 $13.55 $70.13 Remedy change from 5/98: 99.97% Siebel change from 5/98: 509.78% The total portfolio began with $10,000 and stands today at: Stocks $28,463.63 Cash $5,497.58 Total $33,961.21 The details: This is NOT a real-money portfolio. The interest earned on the cash is not accounted for because it would not significantly affect the performance. Commissions are based on $8 per trade. The caveats: I own a long position in Siebel Systems, one of the stocks in the above portfolio. I have owned and reserve the right to own short and long positions in front office software stocks discussed above as well as others. Please do your own homework and don't make any investment decisions based on anything I write anywhere or anytime. --Mike Buckley