Good Article on Technology Sector: The Technology sector continues to be an exciting and profitable market for investors. Soaring profits and share prices make technology the strongest area in the markets, and what is technology without the hardware and components that it comes alive on? The communications equipment industry has seen some major winners within this sector and continues to grow by leaps and bounds. Companies such as Lucent, Motorola and Nokia have grown into huge global corporations by making the equipment that makes technology work. Out of 102 industries on the market, Communications equipment ranks fifth for revenue growth and share equity and is the leader among all technology sectors. So where is the next LU?
Our feature company, MicroTel International (OTCBB:MCTL) offers a tremendous opportunity to accumulate shares of a fundamentally sound company with a strong global presence at dirt cheap prices. The real turn around for MCTL should come early in 2000 as management has eliminated and cut costs substantially. MCTL reported a third quarter loss of .18c per share but this was due mostly to non-recurring charges. When you dissect the 10Q and remove the fat that loss is cut in half. The farther you dig the more exciting the numbers become. Through a restructuring of the CXR subsidiary and infrastructure cost reductions at XIT, MCTL eliminates $ 1.5 million in annualized expenses for 2000. More fat-cutting through completed cash payments, rent reductions and the reduction of cash outlays save MCTL $93,000 a month - a cool $1.1 million annually - making profitability a reality. Using conservative estimates based on contracts already secured and in effect along with past performance of their subsidiaries, it is safe to estimate profits at approximately $3 million. Using a logical P/E of 20 and an estimated EPS of .16 we establish a sound a target price of $3.20.
MCTL, designs, manufactures and distributes a wide range of electronics hardware products and data telecommunications equipment, and provides related services primarily to the telecommunication industry. Through its three wholly-owned operating subsidiaries, MCTL provides electronic test equipment and instrumentation, components and subsystems and circuits predominantly for the telecommunications industry and also for industrial, medical and aerospace and military customers. With a global span reaching France, Japan, UK and the US, MCTL provides its clients with specialized telecommunications products, and information technology products for industrial, medical and aerospace and military applications.
A major advantage for MCTL is their pre-approved products that are standard equipment for companies such as AT&T, French Telecom, the regional Bells and others. This gives their products strong name recognition within the industry for its test instruments, transmission products, display and input devices and microelectronic circuits. MCTL features products that are ISO 9000 certified and meet Bell Core, military and other domestic and foreign certifications. MCTL has established a global presence with the world's major telecoms and is expanding that presence with new products and acquisitions. In a three and a half year period, the company has completed two divestments and seven acquisitions, totaling $39 million in annualized revenues.
MCTL's three wholly owned subsidiaries - CXR Telecom Corp., CXR, S.A. in Paris and XIT Corporation in Ontario, along with its 37% owned affiliate company Digital Transmission Systems, Inc., - offers an impressive array of name-brand, industry respected, quality products:
Instrumentation and Test Equipment - Through its CXR Telcom USA and CXR S.A., France subsidiaries, MCTL provides test instruments, transmission products and networking products under the brand name CXR Halcyon Anderson/Jacobson to the International Telecoms market, private networks, banks, brokerage firms and government agencies.
Components and Subsystems - Through its Digitran Division USA, XIT Corporation USA, XCEL Corp. UK, XCEL Japan, and XCEL Power Systems UK subsidiaries, MCTL provides digital switches, CRT and flat panel displays, keyboards, key pads, subsystem display and input panels and power supplies to the International Telecoms, industrial, medical, military/aerospace markets under the brand names Digitran XCEL-Lite (Displays) and XCEL.
Circuits - Through its HyComp, Inc. and XCEL Etch Tek subsidiaries, MCTL provides Hybrid and Flip Chip Micro-Electronic Circuits and Printed Circuits to the International Telecommunications, Industrial, Medical and Military/Aerospace markets under the brand names HyComp and XCEL Circuits.
The revenue potential is tremendous and recent announcements only solidify the company's future developments and growth. Unlike the many "myths" of institutional investing in BB stocks, the future potential of MCTL was validated on Nov. 10th, when it was announced that Orbit II Partners, L.P. of New York bought a 5.4% beneficial ownership interest in the common stock of MCTL as of Oct. 21, 1999. This kind of faith by big money investors should come as no suprise as MCTL has secured excellent revenue contracts including:
- The delivery of new voice mail systems - featuring the Anderson Jacobson brand modem - to SBC Corporation by MCTL's CXR Telecom Subsidiary. The contract revenue is expected to exceed $2 million over the next year. This helps solidify CXR's position as the dominant supplier in their marketplace.
- A multi-year contract with GT&E Corp. to provide MCTL's CXR Telecom subsidiary's new 704A-400 innovative hand-held, integrated analog/digital test instruments. The new units are lightweight, hand-held instruments that perform the same tasks that previously required several different instruments. The contract is expected to generate more than $ 3 million over thye 3 years.
- MCTL's U.K. XCEL Power Systems Subsidiary was awarded the contract to provide power supplies to GEC Marconi Aviaonics Tornado Upgrade Program. The contract is expected to generate $ 1.2 million in revenue and establishes XCEL's ability to contribute strong profitability well into 2000.
MCTL has completed a major bottom over the past 6 months, below the 3/8 level. The momentum indicators have been neutral for a couple of months, while the company has been getting its house in order, but there was a remarkable volume pick-up in November and the saucer bottom is ready to turn up dramatically. With the stochastics already very positive, a little added volume will easily take the stock back up to 3/8, but there is no meaningful supply before 50c. However, with the fundamentals being as attractive as they are, a move to $1 is very much a possibility in the first quarter of 2000.
We rate this stock a strong buy with a target price of $3.20.
In order to be in full compliance with the Securities Act of 1933, Section 17(b), The Insider,Inc. received no compensation for its efforts in research, presenting, and disseminating this information.
Until next week, good trading!!
Pat Comer The Insider, Inc.
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