To: Mark[ox5] who wrote (248 ) 12/1/1999 12:40:00 PM From: Jeff Bond Respond to of 449
Nov 29 was a classic case of emotional capitulation, the chart really does a good job of showing this:siliconinvestor.com The day was marked by a fast decline in price to $43 under normal to light volume (panic sell). It should have stayed there, but it sat for a while, then the next wave of panic selling set in, again under normal to light volume. From 1PM until closing though, the price continued to go down, but now under much heavier volume, panic has really set in now. Look at the MACD chart, for the majority of the day, the price was going down while MACD was already going back up. This "MACD divergence" was the clue that the momentum was already improving, yet people were selling and driving the price down rather quickly. I call that panic ... and a great buying opportunity :o) Williams %R pretty much tells the same story from a different angle. By mid-morning the indicator was already pegging 0, that is pretty much as "over-sold" as a stock can get, barring total disaster. Again, everyone and their mother is trying to sell this stock all day long, first slowy, then a little faster, then in a frenzy at the end of the day. Panic ... $43 was where the price last tumbled from, that will be the price that POWI quickly returns and begins to idle. $45 is next, and that should be a little more work, finally $49 is gonna be the point where we consolidate and build a base. Really, the recent gap up and beyond is ALL split play buying, and can be discounted. However, everything prior to the gap was STRAIGHT POWI fundamental power. So ... the stock has EARNED $45, but it was speculated up to almost $58. That had to be fixed, and has been ALREADY, when the gap at $45 was closed. The last $5 down to $40 was once again ... panic. Sweet POWI ... fundamentally sound, well managed, emerging markets, proprietary technology, improving margins, and still just a baby ... uh ... whats to say .... good day to you ... MANY more to come ... SWEET POWI :o) Regards, JB