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To: The Verve who wrote (52120)12/1/1999 1:15:00 AM
From: Ruffian  Respond to of 152472
 
Vodafone's Mannesmann Bid Gets
Support From Several Investors

By SARA CALIAN and ANITA RAGHAVAN
Staff Reporters of THE WALL STREET JOURNAL

LONDON -- Several of Mannesmann AG's investors are backing
Vodafone AirTouch PLC's 127.6 billion-euro ($128.76 billion) hostile
offer, even as the German telecommunications company is working
feverishly to fight off a bid from the United Kingdom mobile-phone
operator.

As Mannesmann's chief executive officer, Klaus Esser, went on the road
this week to persuade investors to vote against the hostile takeover, many
fund managers were already supporting the Vodafone bid.

"The Mannesmann defense hasn't set a fire and has not won the day so
far," said David Stevenson, an Edinburgh-based fund manager at Scottish
Value Management, which owns sizable positions in both Vodafone and
Mannesmann. He said a combined company would be a much better
European investment than owning the stocks individually. "And the deal is a
must-have for Vodafone, which would otherwise be squeezed out of key
European markets," he said.

Other fund managers agreed, saying the strategic value of the deal
outweighs any dilution that shareholders would suffer. "We would vote in
favor of the deal at this point," said Graeme Kyle, an Edinburgh fund
manager at Scottish Equitable PLC, which owns about 1% of Vodafone
and 0.5% of Mannesmann. "It's a good strategic merger that makes a lot
of industrial logic, especially for roaming. You can take your [mobile]
phone abroad and can automatically connect."

The combination with Vodafone would create a wireless behemoth, but
Mannesmann says in its defense that it prefers a strategy of investing in
both wireless and fixed-line businesses. By comparison, Vodafone prefers
a wireless-only approach.

To be sure, there are some big Mannesmann shareholders who are
backing the German company. Hutchison Whampoa Ltd., which owns
10% of the combined Mannesmann and Orange PLC group, has recently
supported the German company's rejection of Vodafone's offer.
Mannesmann employees are also expected to back management.

Scottish Equitable's Mr. Kyle worries that the largest hostile deal in Europe
could become ugly. "I don't want to see Mannesmann making a dirty
defense -- they might buy some fixed asset lines in Europe and would deter
Vodafone," he said.

Indeed, like many other fund managers, Mr. Kyle is comfortable with the
per-share price of 250 euros for Mannesmann, but would rather see
Vodafone sweeten the offer with cash rather than boosting the bid with
stock.

His comments were echoed in Germany, which is becoming a pivotal battle
ground for Vodafone and Mannesmann. "We are waiting to see
Mannesmann management later this week, but we are currently in favor of
the merger," said Frank Heise, a fund manager at Union Investment
Gesellschaft in Frankfurt. "The price is not as important as the currency.
We prefer cash."

In trading Tuesday, Vodafone's stock was unchanged at 295.25 pence
($4.72) a share, while Mannesmann's stock rose 2.4%, or 1.45 euros, to
206.40 euros. The spread -- or gap -- between the value of the Vodafone
bid and the level at which Mannesmann's stock is trading at has narrowed
in the past week by more than 10%, suggesting that investors are more
convinced that the deal will go through.



To: The Verve who wrote (52120)12/1/1999 1:35:00 AM
From: Uncle Frank  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 152472
 
>> ...isn't it dumb NOT to be bold?

There's a line that each of us has to draw between bold and reckless, Ron. I use derivatives to juice my return, but in times of uncertainty, I retreat to a ltb&h stance.

Does selling my January calls constitute timidity? My portfolio is now weighted 77% Q and Q LEAPS.

The analysis we've done on the g&k thread confimed Q's pongid nature months ago; it's no longer an issue. Long term you will prosper if you hold Q. Short term you are at the market's mercy.

jmho
unq