To: Stormweaver who wrote (34999 ) 12/1/1999 9:44:00 PM From: Bill Fischofer Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 74651
Re: OS Wars Actually, the biggest threat to SUNW is neither MSFT nor INTC. It's EMC. The reason is simple: It's the data. The bandwidth explosion that is the driving force behind the growth in the internet is simultaneously fueling an equally furious explosion in data. Forrester estimates that by 2003 75% of all IT hardware spending will be on storage. Demand for processing power is growing at a snail's pace compared to demand for storage and the result is that the vast bulk of IT hardware revenue and profits over the next five years will come from this sector. This explains why the traditional box makers (SUNW, CPQ, DELL, IBM, HWP) are all scrambling to shore up their data storage offerings. Traditionally, the processor was the center of the IT universe and storage was literally a "peripheral". Over the next several years that arrangement will be reversed as the rise of Storage Area Networks (SANs) and Network Attached Storage (NAS) becomes the center of the enterprise and processors are pushed to the periphery. The information needs of the 21st century enterprise will consist of a logically centralized but physically distributed multi-petabyte SAN to which processing clusters compete for attachment rights. What does this mean for MSFT and INTC? Good news, actually. SANs are essentially dedicated-purpose storage servers. As data moves to the center of the enterprise, this will accelerate the commoditization of processing at the enterprise level the same way that computing on the desktop has been commoditized by the PC. This means that Wintel processing clusters, as the price/performance leaders, can expect a dominant market share in the attachment server space. Moreover, there is Wintel opportunity in the SAN space itself. EMC is standardizing on INTC processors within the SAN and my guess is there is an opportunity for embedded NT in this space as well.