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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zoltan! who wrote (29867)12/2/1999 5:25:00 AM
From: elmatador  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 77400
 
Cisco to keep buying, despite rising prices
By Ben Heskett
Staff Writer, CNET News.com
December 1, 1999, 3:50 p.m. PT

SANTA CLARA, Calif.--Networking equipment leader Cisco Systems plans to stick to its acquisitive
strategy over the next year, but is wary of the rising valuations of start-ups in the nascent market
for Internet-based optical equipment.

Despite the lofty valuations given to a number of new entrants in the networking equipment and software
markets, chief executive John Chambers says the company plans to buy 20 to 25 companies over the next
year.

In the past, Cisco has counted on start-ups to fill holes in its technological portfolio. Of particular interest to
many in the networking industry is technology that improves the capacity and performance of fiber-optic
networks, but isn't overly expensive.

But the cost of such a strategy, however, has risen considerably, given the recent
success of upstart networking companies such as Juniper Networks, Foundry
Networks and Sycamore Networks.

The values associated with the sector can be best exemplified by Cisco's recent
purchase of Cerent for nearly $7 billion, despite the start-up claiming only $10
million in revenue. This week's $4.5 billion deal between Redback Networks and
Siara Systems--a firm that as yet has no products and no revenue--only furthers the
concern that the cost of mergers and acquisitions has spiraled out of control.

Analysts believe that Cisco has its acquisitive eye on firms that make equipment to
expand long-distance fiber-optic network capacity--a technique called wave
division multiplexing (WDM). But company executives say demand for such gear
still has yet to sweep the market, thus giving Cisco time to survey the field for the
right company fit.

Cisco does have a large presence in long-distance routing, however, through sales
of its GSR 12000 product.

"We don't need WDM, we would like WDM," said Don Listwin, executive vice
president for Cisco, during comments made to financial and industry analysts at the company's annual
strategy update here. "In the next 12 months, we have to figure out what we're going to do."

In the past, Cisco was though to be interested in WDM provider Ciena. The company also was reportedly
looking at taking a stake in Italtel, a European WDM provider. Yet the costs of such hypothetical deals are still
a concern.

"It would be easier to make decisions if there were rational evaluations," Listwin said.

Despite Cisco's Cerent deal, Listwin said the firm will be unwilling to pay such lofty prices for technology
going forward.

"We won't be lured into doing something irrational at this point," he said.

Regardless of high prices, CEO Chambers said Cisco will continue to grow through acquisitions. "At the
present time, our strategy will not change," he said.

Chambers said his company's good reputation in the industry and role as a "white knight" allows it to
evaluate a variety of companies as they grow their businesses.

"We get an opportunity to buy almost every company that comes up," he said.

Separately, Chambers also reiterated comments he made at the close of the company's last quarter
concerning the impact of year 2000-related issues.

He called the fiscal impact of the much-hyped millennium bug a "one-quarter phenomenon" and said the
success of the company over the next two to three years will be based on execution, not technology issues.

COMMENTS: The battle for the edge will make tha battle for the core look like a sunday in the park.

IMPLICATIONS: CSCO is inflating the prices of the start ups and putting out of the grabs of the competitors.
The battle forthe

ITALTEL: If anyone is form CSCO here: beg the management not to take a stake in Italtel. It has been abandoned even by Siemens, which kept the good stuff.



To: Zoltan! who wrote (29867)12/2/1999 6:48:00 AM
From: Techplayer  Respond to of 77400
 
Zoltan, You are correct in that LU obtained a number of its present customers from being a part of AT&T. that relationship also cost them customers like MCI, WCOM (now one), Sprint which is a major reason for acquiring ASND. WCOM will be one of LU"s largest customers next year. An added burden to LU as a result of the spinoff was a large legacy weight of dead or declining products, bureaucracy and debt. LU has been doing an excellent job of cleaning these aspects of the company up over just 3 years. Several new huge deals in the backbone data (WCOM, BT and embratrel) and wireless systems indicate that LU is doing just fine in the competitive environment. Brian