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Technology Stocks : Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (29952)12/3/1999 11:10:00 AM
From: Bill  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
The whole paradigm of moving RBOCs away from 17-year depreciation cycles is revolutionary. :-) One company's 7-year evolution window is another's revolution if the window is 50 years. I don't think there is that much disagreement on the timing. The conflict is in who has the most control of the timing.



To: Kenneth E. Phillipps who wrote (29952)12/3/1999 11:12:00 AM
From: The Phoenix  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 77400
 
Kenneth,

IMO I believe existing large carriers will seek an evolutionary transition - I agree. New green field carriers will go the revolutionary route. If these so called "new world" networks provide more unique services at a lower cost these new greenfield carriers will begin to take customers away from the incumbents. This might force the incumbents to seek out a more revolutionary bias to the evolution of their networks...just to maintain market share. Remember T didn't go for frame relay until Wiltel was taking their customers away. If the IXC's, CLEC's, ILEC's, and established large ISP's begin a more revolutionary pace of deployment which vendor will benefit the most? Given that CSCO has more to gain and less to lose I would assume CSCO would be best positioned - even if they only got 10%. What do you think?

OG