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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Jackson who wrote (82049)12/4/1999 12:48:00 PM
From: Elmer  Respond to of 1573092
 
Re: "So now the Athlon comes along and to place AMD in that same zero profit point they will have to cut all the coppermines of all speeds. "

The CuMines on the .18u process are cheaper to make then their .25u counterparts and with the cache on-die there is a further cost reduction when eliminating the srams. A still cheaper PPGA package and lower test costs means Intel can significantly lower the price yet keep the profits.

Re: "The xeons will stay high, but AMD has a xeon killer in testing as we speak(I surmise this as a logical thing to do on the part of AMD) and so sometime in 2000, Q2/3 there will be an attack on the xeon."

By that time Xeons will be out with 2Meg+ on-die cache, Willamette will be hitting the scene and it's server version Foster will move x86 server performance to a new level. I don't see Athlon making significant inroads into the SMP server market.

EP



To: Bill Jackson who wrote (82049)12/4/1999 12:55:00 PM
From: Joey Smith  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 1573092
 
Bill, I guess I differ in opinion with You, Charles, Jim, etc. in that Athlon will command any sort of price premium to CuMine. From what I hear, cost reductions have been greater than expected going to .18m and this WILL be reflected in Intel pricing across the board, from high-end to low-end, once volumes are there (Q1). High-end pricing will be much lower than traditional Intel high-end pricing. I believe AMD has to respond accordingly, meaning selling their high-end at a discount to Intel's high-end. Honestly, I don't think this pricing will affect Intel's profits or margins, but revenue and ASP will take a hit. The effects? Investors probably will react negatively.

I'm just talking about the desktop market. Also, if AMD has a Q1 1G Athlon chip in volume compared to 800M chip in volume for Intel, the above doesn't hold either!

Just my take. I'm just here to make money like everyone else.

Joey