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Technology Stocks : Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Bill Harmond who wrote (86211)12/5/1999 4:00:00 PM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Respond to of 164684
 
Yahoo ? a top franchise in the B2C sector with continued
strong growth prospects, already highly profitable
Key factors supporting our purchase recommendation:
1. High Growth with High Profitability. With annualized revenues in excess of $600 million,
Yahoo is still growing over 125% year-over-year. The company has already achieved its
?long-term? target operating margin of 35% (a level most internet companies will not ever
achieve, or at least for several years), which leads us to believe there is additional upside.
2. Top Notch Management Team. Often a clich‚, but not in Yahoo?s case. Management
quality and depth will be even more important for internet companies going forward.
3. Good Growth in Advertising and E-commerce. As web sites proliferate, we believe that
Yahoo?s massive audience will enable it to protect its share of the online advertising market,
which is growing 100% per year. We also expect that Yahoo will be able to capture
increasing fees relating to transactions which take place on the Yahoo sites.
4. Strong Presence Internationally and on Devices. We believe that Yahoo! is the U.S. company
best positioned to capture international growth, due to its majority ownership of 18 out of 19
international Yahoo!s. In addition, Yahoo! is aggressively expanding its presence onto handheld
and wireless devices, to establish a critical mass of audience it can monetize going forward.
.
United States
Price: $212 3/4
Henry Blodget
2 December 1999
Henry Blodget
First Vice President Internet / E-Commerce
Market Leaders to Further Solidify Positioning
Focus Stock:
Merrill Lynch & Co.
Global Securities Research & Economics Group
Global Fundamental Equity Research Department
RC#30233712
2000 ? The Year Ahead
Yahoo
Recommendations
Int. Term Price Earnings Per Share MVE/ Indicated Dividend
Opinion Opinion 30-Nov-99 1998A 1999E 2000E 2000E Rev Rate Yield (%)
United States
Yahoo YHOO Buy D-1-1-9 212 ? 0.05 0.44 0.68 74x Nil Nil
Amazon.com AMZN Accumulate D-2-1-9 86 13/16 (0.25) (1.14) (1.00) 11x Nil Nil
America Online AOL Buy D-1-1-9 73 ? 0.06 0.34 0.65 12x Nil Nil
Barnesandnoble.com BNBN Accumulate D-2-1-9 19 (0.72) (0.78) (0.81) 8x Nil Nil
Doubleclick DCLK Buy D-1-1-9 160 1/16 (0.64) (0.39) (0.29) 20x Nil Nil
Etoys ETYS Accumulate D-2-1-9 64 ? (0.28) (1.27) (1.45) 37x Nil Nil
Excite@home ATHM Accumulate D-2-1-9 48 ? (0.18) (0.04) 0.16 26x Nil Nil
Homestore.com HOMS Accumulate D-2-1-9 65 ? (0.87) (1.12) (0.59) 40x Nil Nil
Interliant INIT Accumulate D-2-1-9 22 ? (1.21) (1.62) (2.40) 11x Nil Nil
iVillage IVIL Accumulate D-2-1-9 28 5/16 (2.38) (3.02) (1.76) 11x Nil Nil
Lycos LCOS Accumulate D-2-1-9 56 (0.06) (0.05) 0.11 17x Nil Nil
Priceline.com PCLN Accumulate D-2-1-9 62 (0.63) (0.38) (0.27) 19x Nil Nil
Quokka Sports QKKA Accumulate D-2-1-9 9 3/8 (0.32) (1.36) (1.79) 13x Nil Nil
Software.com SWCM Accumulate D-2-1-9 97 1/16 (0.25) (0.26) (0.22) 51x Nil Nil
24/7 Media TFSM Buy D-1-1-9 50 ? (1.48) (1.38) (2.18) 8x Nil Nil
UBid UBID Buy D-1-1-9 39 3/8 (0.66) (2.30) (2.31) 1x Nil Nil
Webvan WBVN Accumulate D-2-1-9 24 11/16 NM (0.30) (0.54) 76x Nil Nil
* Source: Merrill Lynch Internet Research Team. Comparable valuation is typically based on a multiple of revenues, as most internet companies are not profitable.
Notes: The fiscal year for America Online ends June 30. The fiscal year for Etoys ends March 31. The fiscal year for Lycos ends July 31.