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To: richard surckla who wrote (184)12/6/1999 2:02:00 PM
From: richard surckla  Respond to of 2039
 
Only giants can tame DRAM monster


Date: 12/05 23:54 EST

Only giants can tame DRAM monster

Dec. 05, 1999 (Electronic Buyers News - CMP via COMTEX) -- The DRAM is
a savage chip. A device that has been dominant for decades, DRAM has
largely turned on its creators, nearly destroying many chip companies.

NEC Corp., the world's fourth-largest DRAM maker, is the latest to
throw in the towel as an independent supplier. The company is combining
forces with Hitachi Ltd., an equally stressed Japanese memory-chip
supplier. They join the legions of semiconductor giants, including
Intel Corp. and Texas Instruments Inc., that have given up on or
changed their approach toward DRAMs.

The global market is quickly shaping up just as many expected. There
are still several viable suppliers in the business, but the number is
shrinking. At the upper ranks of the industry, there are just three
huge players: Samsung Electronics Co. Ltd., Micron Technology Inc., and
Hyundai MicroElectronics Co. Ltd. (which includes LG Semicon Co. Ltd.).

And now, we're seeing two additional groups of players emerging:
those being spun off from conglomerates, such as Infineon Technologies
AG, the former Siemens unit, and those merging their resources to
compete on a larger scale, including newly formed NEC Hitachi Memory
Inc.

OEMs must now be concerned that, like the children's tale, the DRAM
tigers won't continue to eat each other up, leaving just a few
suppliers able to dictate prices. Already, the market is shaping up
more as an oligopoly of a few giants.

Once these DRAM survivors sense their market power, the free-wheeling
chaos that benefited OEMs the last four years could be replaced by far
more structured competition.

But is there a defective gene in DRAMs that turns this pervasive
semiconductor into a supplier's monster?

Except for a few brief periods of shortages, DRAMs have shown time
and again that the silicon real estate they take up can be far more
profitably used for nearly any other type of device.

And the constant improvements in DRAM manufacturing techniques have
enabled suppliers to keep driving down prices in a competitive
environment. But now, with fewer competitors in the market, OEMs may
not be able to count on this.

Still, the DRAM kingpins have been ramping up new fabs, and have
shells in place to add more capacity if needed. And it won't be long
before we see 300-mm-wafer fabs capable of producing two-and-a-half
times as many die on a wafer as today's 8-in.-wafer fabs.

So OEMs have one thing going for them: Despite the devastating
history of DRAMs for their producers, there remains a
Seven-Cities-of-Gold lure that keeps memory conquistadors on the quest.


-0-

By: Jack Robertson
Copyright 1999 CMP Media Inc.