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Biotech / Medical : DUSA (DUSA) Pharmaceutical -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: bdusa1 who wrote (89)12/6/1999 10:29:00 PM
From: ouija  Respond to of 101
 
I posted the following to Yahoo to compare the current market cap of QLTI to DUSA (about a factor of 10 ro 12 to one in QLTI's favor...QLTI is going to get approval for AMD in a week or two)

DUSA vs QLTI numbers...the Book
by: ajiuo
12/6/99 9:18 pm
Msg: 2666 of 2666
Below are the numbers per Deutsche Bank for QLTI and H&Q for DUSA. Given that QLTI is about 12 times the market cap of
DUSA, it appears to say that DUSA is going to be A LOT MORE PROFITABLE than QLTI by about a factor of 4 (must have a
much better profit sharing deal with their partner) and yield about the same EPS as QLTI in 2001 and 2002. That has to be worth
about QLTI's market cap since it is only based on AK revenues and no off label or bladder cancer diagnosis etc.

QLTI Rev........2001: 122.2M.........2002: 222.4M

QLTI EPS........2001: 0.62..............2002: 1.38

DUSA Rev ........2001: 27.7M.........2002: 61M

DUSA EPS........2001: 0.69.............2002: 1.48

The numbers speak for themselves. To be fair to QLTI, Warburg Dillon Reed has more aggressive numbers giving QLTI and EPS
of 0.86 instead of 0.69 in 2001. I don't have the rest of WBR's model.

The numbers say DUSA could easily add a factor of 10 to catch up with QLTI. If DUSA goes up by 3 nearterm and QLTI comes
down by a factor of 3 I will still be happy.

Certainly not much risk. Comments?

That's The Book. Now we can all wait for The Movie.



To: bdusa1 who wrote (89)12/27/1999 5:28:00 PM
From: bdusa1  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 101
 
A good day nobody on this board awake so I'll talk to myself. Nice runup on good volume was worth the wait.