SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Technology Stocks : JDS Uniphase (JDSU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: dangergirl who wrote (2622)12/7/1999 7:35:00 AM
From: SJS  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 24042
 
DG,

I explained this in a number of previous posts, but I will do so again for the "danger" of it <G>.

The final conversion ration is .928, sometime in Q1. That means you get .928 shares of JDSU for each share of OCLI you tender.

Now the ratio between the two stocks is LESS than this. This ratio is found by dividing the OCLI price by the JDSU price. Like this (as of this morning):

219.5/257 = .854

Since the ratio is .854 NOW, it has to grow to .928 by deal closure date in Q1. The difference (.928 - .854 = .074) is the arbitrage difference, or the PRICE OF THE RISK and TIME. RISK that the deal won't close or be delayed, and the TIME value of money until deal closure if all goes according to plan.

To the buyers of OCLI, this extra is risk. The risk is measured by an extra 8.66% (.074/.854) of profit. Each person has to determine if the risk of the deal going through is worth the extra that is offered for that risk. To me, you and a number of other people, the risk is worth it because we own OCLI stock and expect the deal to go smoothly and on time.

So as you know, to get the value of this additional premium, you buy OCLI and hold it until JDSU calls your shares, which you appear to be doing.

STeve



To: dangergirl who wrote (2622)12/7/1999 8:55:00 AM
From: t2  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 24042
 
dangergirl, SJS explained the risks. Stock split is not a factor in the conversion price. The .928 factor will be multiplied by 2 to get the new ratio once JDSU splits.

It is like getting a stock split runup (which i am assuming will happen soon) without OCLI shares splitting.

If i see the risk going down significantly, then i may sell OCLI and buy JDSU before the deal closes(for me the tax consequences are not a factor).