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Technology Stocks : AUTOHOME, Inc -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Jay Lowe who wrote (17723)12/9/1999 12:14:00 AM
From: gpowell  Respond to of 29970
 
If I visit your page are you going to try to hack into my pc?



To: Jay Lowe who wrote (17723)12/9/1999 12:51:00 AM
From: E. Davies  Respond to of 29970
 
Here's my hack at two alternate valuation models.
Quite interesting.

A few comments:

A price/sales of 35 is a bit hefty for the longer term, but a little low for now.

ATHM does not get $20/month in subscriber fees. Its closer to $12 and will be more in the range of $5 for transporting someone else.

Where is Excite?
Where is matchlogic/enliven?
Where is @work?
Where is Interactive TV?
...

My point?
If you value purely the @home function by traditional valuations (which of course no one does) the stock is only slightly overvalued. Only slightly overvalued is pretty cheap in a world where YHOO has a $100 Billion market cap.

If you include the many many other things ATHM is its obvious that ATHM should be easily a $100 stock, even by moderately conservative thinking.

Eric



To: Jay Lowe who wrote (17723)12/9/1999 2:00:00 AM
From: gpowell  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 29970
 
I get about $15.09 per share when I use $13.65 as the subscription fee. Considering last quarter: subscription fees accounted for 37.88 mil in revenue compared to a total revenue of 112.5 mil or ~34% of the total. So using your valuation method and assuming the ratio stays the same we get a share price of $44 @ 1 million subscribers.

P.S. Nice homepage