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Strategies & Market Trends : Gorilla and King Portfolio Candidates -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Stichnoth who wrote (12488)12/9/1999 2:35:00 PM
From: Apollo  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
Terrific comments, John; thanx for reading my post and picking it apart <g>.

My problem with them, like so many pure internet plays, is the looming competition from more mature players. Haven't both Intel and IBM announced and begun moving into this space? So, we have two gorillas trying to move against a king, I think.

What happens when the Big guy steps in to claim a little guy's territory? IBM has not done very well in the PC competition with Dell, even tho' IBM was first and a zillion times bigger. How well will Intel do in the networking chip market, competing with the PMCS, Conexant, and the others? (I hold Intc, so I am hoping they step up to the plate) How well will Lucent do in networking equipment up against Cisco? Most people around here will tell you Lu isn't nimble enough (ie, small enough).

So will EXDS be a Dell or Cisco, small enough and focused on its primary mission and hold off the Big Boys, with bigger pockets, but more distracted? I don't know, which is why King EXDS should be held lightly, and watched closely. I think Uncle Frank was right, in a case such as this, when he asked a poster if they knew their company's dates for reporting quarterly earnings. I would be totally devoted to EXDS on those days, searching for reductions in customer accrual, or reduced revenues.

Stan



To: John Stichnoth who wrote (12488)12/9/1999 6:19:00 PM
From: Uncle Frank  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54805
 
>> IBM's gorillahood is very long in the tooth, of course, but they're still a gorilla aren't they?

I don't see them as such. IBM's Gorilla period was during the main frame computer tornado, which was ended by a discontinuous innovation (minicomputers), which was in turn ended by another discontinuous innovation (PCs). In the PC arena, IBM began as King, but is now a lowly Prince Without Aptitude. They seem to be relying on the e.com arena for their comeback attempt as a Godzilla, but I fear they are handicapped by the many bricks they carry.

jmho,
uf



To: John Stichnoth who wrote (12488)12/10/1999 7:46:00 AM
From: Len  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 54805
 
John,
Outside of mainframes where do you see IBM as a gorilla. Somehow, if I am Exodus IBM would not be my major concern. Look at how many companies have kicked their buts in markets that IBM was supposed to dominate--- EMC and Dell for instance.

Len