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To: Pat Hughes who wrote (35775)12/11/1999 1:16:00 AM
From: Don Green  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 93625
 
your Xmas gift -coal or Coppermine?

Dec. 10, 1999 (Electronic Buyers News - CMP via COMTEX) -- Among my
small circle of longtime friends, the popular topics at this year's
holiday circuit have been the latest high school reunion and our
childhoods.

"Do you remember when we were kids?" we ask. "Remember Big Wheels,
'classic' Legos, Pong?"

We grew up long ago, sadly. These days, our toys cost far more,
although the only Lotus I'll ever lay hands on was part of my die-cast
Hot Wheels set. My Silicon Valley/San Francisco crowd now plays with
laptops and broadband Internet access as a way of avoiding the commute.

So it is with a childlike sense of frustration that I consider the
current PC landscape. Once again, as so often before, the holidays are
largely devoid of the latest technology innovations.

The holiday build is nearly over. OEMs and chip builders plan to shut
down between Christmas and New Year's. When St. Nick pops into the
wafer ovens Christmas Eve, nary a soul will be found.

Instead, holiday shoppers and OEMs alike have jostled each other in
the rush for the first Coppermine chips. Numerous OEM executives,
including Simon Lin of Acer, publicly complained about the lack of
silicon in their stockings. While Advanced Micro Devices seems to have
reconciled its manufacturing issues (what a Christmas miracle!), OEMs
have been hard pressed to discover a corresponding motherboard under
their tree, and circulating whispers of Intel's influence were quickly
hushed.

SDRAM, meanwhile, has become the holiday tradition. Like Grandma in
the kitchen, analysts and OEMs have busily blended a dash of Rambus, a
jot of Camino, and behold, a not so tasty dish. We're told it needs
more Rambus, but old man Samsung won't lay in enough supply until
sometime next year. Until then, try some SDRAM. It might not taste as
good, but it's less fattening-and it's what you grew up on.

And remember the anticipated Christmas mornings? Would you get that
new bike you wished for rather than the-horror of horrors-clothes? I
wonder what the reaction will be in January, when Intel introduces a
second boatload of new processors, including new flip-chip-packaged
Pentium IIIs and the SpeedStep power-saving technology.

Intel has told the press that it won't abandon the slot architecture
for some time, which, to give the company credit, allowed easy
upgradability. Now, it could be back to the pitfalls of bent pins after
little Johnny figures that he should upgrade Dad's computer when
Microsoft releases Windows 2000.

Finally, I hope that Y2K will remain a bug, and a small one at that.
Instead, my real, serious fear is that consumers will make a run on the
banks, dragging us into economic chaos. If that's the case, this might
be the year you will ask for coal in your stocking



To: Pat Hughes who wrote (35775)12/11/1999 1:18:00 AM
From: Don Green  Respond to of 93625
 
New chipset supports PC133 SDRAM -- Reliance has garnered support from the likes of Compaq, IBM

Dec. 10, 1999 (Computer Reseller News - CMP via COMTEX) -- Santa
Clara, Calif.-Since its inception in 1995, Reliance Computer Corp. has
churned out about 2 million chipsets for Intel-based servers. The
company has kept fairly quiet about its business-that is, until now.

Reliance attracted attention this fall with its newest chipset, the
ServerSet III, which supports PC133 SDRAM, an alternative to Rambus
memory technology. The company also is helping lead development

of PC133's successor, Double Data Rate (DDR) SDRAM. Reliance last
month co-hosted an industry event on DDR, for which it plans to offer
chipset support next year.

In the coming year, Reliance, based here, expects to completely shed
its low-profile image and launch an initial public offering.

Earlier this month, the company named Kimball Brown to its newly
created position of vice president of business development. Brown,
formerly a chief analyst at market-research firm Dataquest, is charged
with expanding the business into non-traditional server applications,
including the new server appliance market. He also will establish an
investor relations function for Reliance in preparation of its IPO.

Brown said Reliance targets OEM customers and does not plan to target
resellers directly. However, Reliance is helping to drive new memory
and next-generation I/O standards for servers, so resellers could
benefit by keeping an eye on the company, he said.

While Intel went full steam ahead with Rambus memory technology,
Reliance supported PC133, which has found widespread customer
acceptance that the more complex and expensive Rambus, Brown said.

Reliance has won considerable OEM support, including Compaq Computer
Corp., Houston, and IBM Corp., Armonk, N.Y. That support likely will
grow to nearly all the top OEMs, predicted an industry source.
"[Reliance] will be everywhere," he said.

Peter Glaskowsky, senior analyst at Cahners MicroDesign Resources,
Sebastopol, Calif., said in a report on Reliance's newest chipset that
he expects it to dominate the market for two- and four-way server
designs in the coming year.

"Despite its history as the silent partner to some of the industry's
most successful server OEMs, [Reliance] may yet become a household name
among server buyers," he said.

In addition to PC133, ServerSet III LE offers support for dual
Pentium III or Pentium III Xeon chips on a 133MHz system bus, up to
4Gbytes of PC133 SDRAM, and 64-bit PCI bus capability. The product's
design allows system builders to combine two of the chipsets in
configurations that include up to four Pentium III processors, four PCI
buses and 4 Gbytes of error-correcting PC133.

Hewlett-Packard Co., Palo Alto, and Dell Computer Corp., Round Rock,
Texas, both unveiled systems based on the chipset. The HP NetServer
LC2000 and LH3000 systems are HP's first using Reliance chipsets, said
Chris Bennett, worldwide product marketing manager with HP's network
server division.

"The reason we're using [Reliance] is those chips provided us with
the best match for the kind of requirements our customers need in those
kind of products," he said. "[Reliance] tunes the chipset for the kinds
of applications that are particular to server manufacturers like us."

PC133, he added, offers many advantages for servers, including good
price performance, low latency and ample supply.

Tyan Computer Corp., a Fremont, Calif.-based motherboard
manufacturer, will offer Reliance-based boards to complement its
Intel-based product line for high-end systems, said Don Clegg, Tyan
vice president of marketing and strategic sales. Tyan will offer the
Reliance boards to OEMs that request them.

"[Reliance] has been a leader in promoting faster and cheaper SDRAM
technology and promoting architectures that can address large memory
arrays," he said.

All Signals Go For Reliance:

- Vendor is helping lead development of PC133's successor, Double
Data Rate SDRAM.

- Expecting to launch IPO sometime next year.
- HP, Dell have released systems based on ServerSet III.
- Tyan set to offer Reliance boards as alternative to Intel.





To: Pat Hughes who wrote (35775)12/11/1999 1:19:00 AM
From: Don Green  Respond to of 93625
 
Intel At A Crossroads: Analysts wonder if the chip king can maintain its power-and profits-in myriad new markets -- Should You Sell Your Intel Stock?

Dec. 10, 1999 (Computer Reseller News - CMP via COMTEX) -- Santa
Clara, Calif.-Intel Corp. is the king of chips and flush with cash. So
why is Wall Street so worried?

The company is in the throes of an ambitious plan to diversify,
looking to evolve from a chip maker into a supplier of myriad
components and services for the Internet economy. Intel wants to
provide high-end chips to makers of communications gear. It is
burrowing into voice-data convergence with its acquisition of Dialogic
Corp. for $780 million. Oh, and it also wants to become a Web hosting
power.

All of this amounts to a tall order, causing analysts to worry the
company may not be able to replicate its phenomenal silicon success in
these other ventures. Sources close to the company said it has
considered many moves-even breaking out its nascent Internet-related
businesses into a separate company-to ensure future fiscal health.

An Intel spokesman denied any plans to spin off either the
online-services or networking-chip business, but would not say whether
the company has discussed those options in recent months. Intel, Santa
Clara, has participated in some spin-offs such as Pandesic, "so there
is the potential for something like that," he said.

Analysts said it is not beyond the pale for Intel to consider a
spin-off or a tracking stock. Nearly every other company has done so.

"Certainly Intel is diversifying into a lot of other businesses that
have little relationship to their core PC processor business," said
Linley Gwennap, analyst at Cahners MicroDesign Resources, a Sebastopol,
Calif.-based research firm.

It might make sense for Intel to issue a tracking stock for either
its Internet-related technology business, its networking-chip business
or both, Gwennap said. But splitting the company "might be going a
little too far," he said.

Drew Peck, analyst at Boston-based S.G. Cowan & Co., said Intel has
no reason to break out the Web business so that the business line's
profit-or lack thereof-would be fully disclosed.

Others argue a tracking stock would make sense if Intel wants to ride
the Web wave. Tracking stocks unlock value not recognized in
traditional business valuations, said Jeff Matthews, general partner at
RAM Partners, a Greenwich, Conn.-based hedge fund. Companies use them
to wring value from businesses that may be growing but are not
profitable.

Others said such a move is almost beside the point. In Peck's view,
Intel's real challenge is "getting its networking business to take up
the slack as the other business implodes."

While Intel certainly has cash from silicon, its new ventures,
including its recent communications push, remain far less profitable
even though they may have inherently higher margins, analysts said.

Intel is positioning itself as a technology provider to makers of
telecommunications gear, such as Nortel Networks Corp., where margins
are lush but powerful competitors such as IBM Corp. and Lucent
Technologies loom.

"The networking guys enjoy high margins, whereas in [PC] hardware,
the margins have dried up. . . . Intel may face some inbred resistance
from companies that view Intel and Microsoft [Corp.] as the two
companies who drove the commoditization of the PC market," said Kelly
Spang, analyst at Technology Business Research Inc., Hampton, N.H.

Perils Ahead

So, Intel, for all its success, faces huge hurdles. Even on its own
turf, Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), Sunnyvale, Calif., is waging a
fierce battle in PC chips. While it initially attacked the low end with
CPUs for sub-$1,000 boxes, AMD now contends at the high end with its
Athlon chip.

Because of that, Intel has seen a steady erosion of average selling
prices for its PC chips.

Intel's lowest priced chips are cheaper than ever-about $65, said
Nathan Brookwood, analyst at Insight 64, Saratoga, Calif. Three years
ago, the absolute lowest price for an Intel CPU was $75. Intel hopes to
offset that by pushing its high-end Xeon chips, which sell for up to $3,
692 each, and also hopes Xeon will keep average selling prices-and
margins-healthy.

Some analysts doubt that.

Merrill Lynch & Co., New York, earlier this month reduced its Intel
earnings estimate for next year to $2.55 from $2.69, based on concerns
about next year's Merced launch and pressure from AMD.

"Intel will be forced to respond competitively to AMD in the coming
year, which may put more pressure on Intel's pricing than we expected,"
wrote Merrill Lynch Vice President Joseph Osha.

In the October earnings call, Intel Chief Financial Officer Andy
Bryant said average selling prices were lower than expected, but that
Intel had gained market share in low-priced processors.

The Drive To Diversity

Intel does not lack guts. The company is buying companies and
technology to support its diversification agenda. Last quarter alone,
Intel either initiated plans to buy or finished buying NetBoost Corp.
for about $215 million, IPivot for $500 million, and DSP Communications
for $1.6 billion. NetBoost develops Web communications software, IPivot
offers Web hardware such as caching servers, and DSP develops digital
cellular technology.

That push worries some VARs. "Intel is definitely taking risks when
it moves away from its core business," said Steve Billings, director of
technology at The Tech Shop, an Amherst, N.Y.-based reseller.

"Maybe audio and compression is close enough [to chips] for them to
succeed, but convergence gets a little fuzzy. . . . I don't have a
crystal ball, but look what happened to Cyrix [Corp.] when it started
copying other people's work," he said.

Diving into new arenas is one thing-executing well on current plans
is another. Of late, Intel has had difficulty on both fronts.

A bug recently discovered in Pentium III chips can affect bootup.
And, many said Intel's effort to entrench the Rambus DRAM memory
standard is wobbly. It is unclear if RDRAM performance is worth a
premium, said Osha.

In October, Intel Executive Vice President Paul Otellini
characterized the problems as random rather than systemic.

Both the Merced and Rambus issues reflect the complexity of those
efforts, Otellini said. "Moving to the next generation is always a
little more difficult than people give us credit for," he said.

That has analysts spooked.

Intel is supporting a lot of new initiatives simultaneously, but it
will be nearly impossible for the company to make up for falling chip
prices with its new businesses in the short term, said S.G. Cowan's
Peck.

"They're doing the right things, but there are not many businesses
they can move into that'll make them that amount of money," Peck said.

"Data communications is one of them, but there's a lot of risk," said
Peck. "It is unlikely that they'll duplicate their success in
microprocessors. That was a once-in-a-lifetime opportunity."





To: Pat Hughes who wrote (35775)12/11/1999 1:20:00 AM
From: Don Green  Respond to of 93625
 
ISI closes second round of funding

Dec. 10, 1999 (Electronic Buyers News - CMP via COMTEX) -- Interactive
Silicon Inc., an Austin, Texas-based developer of memory-management
software and ICs, has completed its second round of funding. The latest
batch of investors include Dell Computer Corp., Siemens Venture
Capital, Synopsys Inc., and Austin Ventures, which, with Rambus Inc.,
provided ISI with seed capital in 1998.




To: Pat Hughes who wrote (35775)12/11/1999 1:22:00 AM
From: Don Green  Respond to of 93625
 
Rambus to double speed, attack comms market
By Will Wade
EE Times
(12/10/99, 6:41 p.m. EDT)

MOUNTAIN VIEW, Calif. — Rambus Inc., whose latest memory chips have barely begun to crack the desktop PC market, last week disclosed an ambitious road map for its high-speed architecture, including doubling the clock speed and expanding into non-PC markets that are likely to include communications.

The RDRAM has been slow to ramp into PC designs because of yield problems among Rambus DRAM licensees and delays in the release of Intel Corp.'s 820 chip set, designed to interface with Rambus memory. In addition, some memory vendors are hedging their bets by shifting resources to the double-data-rate (DDR) DRAM architecture, which offers faster throughput than existing synchronous DRAM devices but has similar design constraints.

"We plan to double the data rate of our fastest chips from 800 MHz per pin to 1.6 GHz," said Geoff Tate, Rambus' chief executive officer. "We already have the faster technology working in a lab setting as an engineering demo, and we expect to see product announcements by the second half of next year."

Those first products could come from Rambus' DRAM partners, or from nonmemory companies working to implement Rambus technology in new fields. To observers and licensees, the strategy is easier said than done.

"The problem isn't bandwidth, it's cost," said Jeff Mailloux, DRAM marketing manager for Micron Technology Inc. (Boise, Idaho). "Doubling the bandwidth next year is absolutely not going to solve those issues, and it won't help the chips become more popular for PC main memory."

Implementing a new memory design is never as easy as switching masks, Mailloux said, adding that he was under no illusions that adopting a new RDRAM architecture would be anything less than challenging. Micron is building both Rambus and DDR parts.

"Obviously, we'd like to see the first generation get a little more established and stable, and see the costs come down a bit as well, before we run off and do the second generation," he said. "But if that's what our customers are asking for, then we will make our best efforts to provide it."

Besides increasing the speed of individual chips, the com-pany is tweaking the design of the Rambus in-line memory modules used to implement RDRAMs in PCs. Tate said the modules' total bandwidth will increase fourfold once the speedier devices are used next year. That means a single RIMM will deliver up to 6.4 Gbytes/second of total memory bandwidth.

"Increasing the speed of the RIMM is key for the PC market, while increasing the data rate on the individual devices is important for all our target markets, especially the non-PC applications," said Tate. A wider bus?

Intriguing idea with few details
The company has not disclosed exactly how it plans to improve its technology. The most likely scenario, said Steve Cullen, memory analyst for Cahners In-Stat, is for Rambus to modify its interface architecture to wring out more performance.

Cullen also predicted that the faster memory modules might use a wider data bus. Current RIMM designs use a 16-bit bus, much narrower than the buses implemented in SDRAM-based systems. Using a wider data bus would be an easy way to boost RIMM performance, Cullen said.

While the biggest design wins for Rambus to date have been in the PC and consumer gaming markets, the company clearly has its eye on other sectors. High on the list is communications, where Tate said the high-speed memory is already seeing wider use in advanced networking applications. "We are doing very well in those markets, and several companies will be announcing product early next year," he said.

Rambus first announced its intention to crack the communications market back in February 1998. But at that time, industry interest was lukewarm, even in high-end designs. For example, terabit-router makers Avici Systems Inc. and Pluris Inc. have yet to use Rambus technology in their systems.

For Pluris (Cupertino, Calif.), the decision was a matter of risk vs. reward, said Mohammed Rajabzadeh, director of engineering. Because memory bandwidth wasn't a critical issue, Pluris opted not to take a chance on switching to a new architecture. "When you're designing an ASIC, putting [in] the Rambus core adds some risk to your design," he said.

Rambus does get considered every time Pluris starts a new design, Rajabzadeh said. And he found the promised 6.4-Gbyte per-module speed noteworthy. But memory bandwidth isn't enough of an issue to force Pluris and other vendors to make the switch.

"Traditional networking vendors use off-the-shelf DRAMs and SRAMs because they don't need the bandwidth [of Rambus]," Rajabzadeh said. "So far, it's enough."

Aside from going after new market sectors for its memories, Rambus is also looking to create new applications beyond memory. "Our technology is basically a means to connect different chips, so we can use it for areas besides DRAM," said Tate.

Although Rambus is already working to modify its core technology for a nonmemory application, Tate would not disclose which market it is targeting. "We think our chip-connection technology can be used to address a lot of system bottlenecks, and we will be making more announcements about this next year," he said.

Analyst Cullen agreed, saying, "At its heart, Rambus is a high-speed signaling interface. Nobody is in the DRAM business because they want to be; people are in DRAM because they have to be, and as soon as they can find something else to do, they should do it."

Asked to speculate on what other areas Rambus might tackle, Pluris' Rajabzadeh said that I/O processing could be a promising target. "If they come up with some magic trick to boost I/O speed, that would be a plus," he said. "Their best bet is to incorporate that in an ASIC technology."

Rock fight
Future prospects aside, for Rambus and other DRAM makers the present is marked by the rock fight among memory technologies. In recent weeks, the double-data-rate scheme appears to have picked up steam, even as companies like Samsung crank up the pace of their RDRAM production. Samsung announced last week it would double Rambus memory production, to 2 million units a month by February.

Hyundai Microelectronics said last week it has completed all design work for an RDRAM product.

"We've finally finished development of our Rambus chips, and we'd like to avoid having to go through that again," said product marketing manager David Derrough. However, the company is not manufacturing anything.

Citing a lack of demand from PC customers, Hyundai instead has turned on the spigot for DDR parts. It is shipping its 64-Mbit DDR DRAMs in volume and sampling its 128-Mbit versions. Memory rival Micron Technology also has a 64-Mbit DDR chip in the market, and will sample its 128-Mbit device next quarter.

"All of our top OEM customers are telling us that they expect to use a lot of DDR memory next year," said Derrough. Hyundai has confirmed that Compaq Computer Corp. and Dell Computer Corp. are both using Hyundai's DDR chips in upcoming server designs.

It may not be entirely a customer-demand problem that is prompting the Hyundai switch, however. "Hyundai is a little behind the eight ball" on RDRAM yields and die sizes, which may account for its new focus on DDR technology, said Jim Handy, memory analyst for Dataquest Inc. (San Jose, Calif.).

The key advantages of DDR over RDRAM in the server market include lower costs and wider buses linking the memory to the rest of the system. Where Rambus chips garner significant premiums over standard SDRAM, Derrough said there is no premium for DDR, which uses nearly the same manufacturing process as SDRAM and carries only a tiny die-size penalty.

DDR chips can be implemented in systems with bus widths of 64 bits, identical to those now seen for standard SDRAM-based systems, according to In-Stat's Cullen. In contrast, the widest bus for RDRAMs now is 16 bits, one-quarter the width of a 64-bit bus.

Data moves on and off RDRAM chips at up to 800 MHz, four times faster than in a 200-MHz DDR design. However, on account of the bus widths, an RDRAM would have less bandwidth than a 266-MHz DDR DRAM device. While Micron has not abandoned RDRAM for DDR, Mailloux also sees the advantage of the double-data-rate parts. "We think there will be different memory architectures for different markets," Mailloux said.

Meanwhile, Samsung declared last week that it is doubling RDRAM output between now and February to meet customer demand. Samsung had stopped ramping production of Rambus memories in October after Intel delayed its 820 chip set, which was to support the use of Rambus memories. But the company resumed Rambus production last month.

"Many customers came to us because not many companies can supply (Rambus memories)," said Yoon-Woo Lee, president and chief executive officer of Samsung's semiconductor unit. Although Samsung is building about a million 128/144-Mbit Rambus chips per month, there is still a big market shortage of the devices, he said. Hence the ramp to 2 million per month.

—Additional reporting by Robert Ristelhueber and Craig Matsumoto.



To: Pat Hughes who wrote (35775)12/11/1999 1:24:00 AM
From: Don Green  Respond to of 93625
 

Intel may alter mobile chipset plans related to Rambus

Dec 10, 1999 --- While Intel has not talked about what chipset it will use for mobile computers in regard to Rambus, word has surfaced in Taiwan that the chipmaking giant will skip one chipset codenamed "Greendale" in favor of another codenamed "Solano 2M," reports Electronic Business Asia.

eb-asia.com

"I can't tell you whether or not if Intel plans to use either of these," said Dan Francisco, an Intel spokesperson. He added that Intel has yet to discuss what chipset it will use for notebook PCs and other mobile systems. Several analysts who cover the chipset market could not be reached at presstime.

As far as the use of RDRAM in mobile computers is concerned, Intel has adopted a wait-and-see approach.

"Depending on the market conditions for RDRAM and how fast prices come down we plan on using RDRAM in the mobile space," Francisco said. "You can expect to see RDRAM in mobile computers depending on these market factors around late 2000 and 2001. In the end it will be left up to the market to ultimately decide what memory technology it will embrace today and onto tomorrow. We will react with what the market decides."