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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (35279)	12/16/1999 8:44:00 AM
From: Lee Lichterman III	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 99985

Bonds dipped on teh news but the Futures aren't doing anything as I guess inflation is a good thing in this new paradigm... Alert: U.S. Jobless Claims Fell to 266,000 Dec 11 Wk From Rev 295,000 Prior Wk (options) biz.yahoo.com Alert: Us Oct Trade Deficit Record $25.94 Bln, Rev Sept Deficit $24.15 Bln ($24.41 Bln) (options) biz.yahoo.com Alert: U.S. 4-wk Average Fell to 282,000 Dec 11 Wk From Rev 287,250 Prior Wk (options) biz.yahoo.com Alert: U.S. Jobless Claims Lowest Since 266,000 in Dec 8, 1973 Week (options biz.yahoo.com Alert: U.S, Claims Below 300,000 for Tenth Straight Wk, Longest Since July'72-dec'73 (options) biz.yahoo.com Good Luck, Lee

To: pater tenebrarum who wrote (35279)	12/16/1999 10:14:00 AM
From: Les H	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 99985

Favors makes his analysis case based on the Dow. I thought the Nasdaq looked similar to the run in 1991. It had a big run up at the end of the year and sold off in January/February. It had a dome then also and fell back to the base in October as in the 3 peaks and the dome pattern. Market Breadth percent of stocks up percent of stocks above MA sector 5 da 1 mo 3 mo 1 yr 10 21 50 200 ---------------------- ---- ---- ---- ---- -- -- -- --- Aerospace/Defense 45 43 17 21 45 45 36 17 Apparel (incl Retail) 40 37 31 48 42 36 33 29 Automotive 32 24 15 29 32 27 24 22 Banks 27 9 33 28 19 12 19 23 Biotechnology 59 76 69 74 56 66 74 76 Building/Construction 35 29 20 27 37 30 33 16 Chemical 48 44 35 46 52 52 54 27 Commercial Services 48 58 53 47 53 55 63 51 Computer Equipment 40 63 66 72 49 59 77 72 Consumer Nondurable 46 44 44 32 44 41 46 32 Drug (excl Biotech) 39 37 50 47 36 31 43 40 Electronics (incl Semi) 32 55 68 80 38 45 71 78 Environmental 27 41 32 18 27 32 36 23 Financial (incl S&L) 31 22 38 46 25 27 30 29 Foods 26 22 23 22 20 12 22 19 Healthcare 37 38 36 37 41 36 48 34 Household Products 38 43 35 35 35 35 43 28 Insurance 24 18 34 20 19 16 26 27 Internet 41 63 78 69 42 50 72 65 Leisure 31 39 41 48 36 36 39 38 Machinery 40 43 29 39 35 39 39 27 Media 54 71 69 82 65 76 76 69 Metals 44 43 40 55 45 46 45 45 Oil & Gas (incl Gold) 42 15 13 66 45 19 27 34 Paper Products & Pkg 56 40 38 54 56 52 60 40 Real Estate 26 9 4 10 22 14 13 3 Retail 41 37 34 41 33 32 38 29 Semiconductors 27 54 77 92 28 42 79 89 Software 49 82 80 75 55 74 88 80 Telecommunications 47 69 75 80 49 59 75 79 Transportation 39 33 35 39 39 39 43 25 Utilities 27 16 25 25 22 20 22 27