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Strategies & Market Trends : Trading the SPOOs with Patrick Slevin! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Patrick Slevin who wrote (1914)12/16/1999 12:26:00 PM
From: Ms. X  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 7434
 
The OPTI..
On the DWA site you look this up with the symbol BPOPTI
While we have done that let me give you other symbols for the indicators
High Low Index - hilo
10 Week moving average - 10week
300 week moving average - 30week
Optionable Bullish Percent - BPOPTI
NYSE Bullish Percent - BPNYSE
Dow Jones 20 Bond - DJBB

Here is the BPOPTI

The lines | mark the separation of years. As you can see some years
are more volatile than others. Above 70% is the red zone, below 30%
is the green zone. You can see our reversal now is in the middle
and that is why I say the risk isn't as high as above 70%.

76 | | 76
74 8 X | 4 | 74
72 7 O X O | X O | 72
70-----X O X O --+-X O --------X +-------------------------------70
65 X 9 A | 3 O<--This reversal down from above 70% told us
66 6 O | X O there was major risk in the market. 66
64 X O | X 5 X C 1 O X 64
62 X O | X O B O X O X 7 O 62
60 O X ----O --+-X O --------X O X O X O 6 O ------------------60
58 O X O | X O X O O 5 O X O 58
56 2 X O | X O X | 2 X O X O 56
54 3 X O X | X O X | O X O O X 54
52 O X O C O X 6 X | O X O X O 52
50---O X ----O B O X O X ------X +---O X ----8 ----X <--Buy signal.
48 O X O X O 2 O X O X | O X O X X C 48
46 4 5 O X O X O 7 O X | O 4 O X O X O <--Current
44 O X O 1 X O X O X | O X O X O B reversal down.
42 O X O O X O X | O X O 9 X low level.
40---O ----------+---O --O ----X +---O ----------O X ------------40
38 | O X | O X 38
36 | 8 X X | A <--We aren't that
34 | O X O X | far off the bottom
32 | O X O X | set in October.
30---------------+-------O X A X +-------------------------------30
28 | O X O X | 28
26 | O X O X | 26
21 | O X O X | 24
22 | O X O X | 22
20---------------+-------O X O X +-------------------------------20
18 | O X O | 18
16 | O 9 <--reversal back up in Sep '98 giving
14 | O X us the "get up and go!" signal.
11 One of the lowest O X We often say "hunt for pennies in the
10 levels ever --------->O couch to invest at this point.