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Pastimes : The New Qualcomm - write what you like thread. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: pheilman_ who wrote (1265)12/17/1999 12:47:00 AM
From: T L Comiskey  Respond to of 12245
 
"Don't need a weather man to know which way the wind blows....."
Polar Wind Shift Marks New
Global Weather Worry


SAN FRANCISCO (Reuters) -
Shifting wind patterns around the
North Pole are partly to blame
for a raft of weather changes in
recent decades ranging from
warmer temperatures in the
Northern Hemisphere to
declining sea-level pressure over
the Arctic, scientists said on Thursday.

Changes in the "polar vortex", the pattern of
winds which encircles the pole, may well be a
sign of more severe weather shifts to come,
they said.

"The recent trend (of change) seems
unprecedented in the historical model," David
Thompson of the University of Washington
told reporters at a meeting of the American
Geophysical Union here.

Scientists presented reports showing that, on
balance, the polar vortex has tightened since
1970 -- meaning that the upper-atmosphere
winds are blowing in a smaller, stronger circle
around the polar region itself.

As a result, frigid polar weather has not moved
as far south during the Northern Hemisphere
winter, leading to climate changes ranging
from higher temperatures across Europe and
Asia to a sharp decrease in Spanish rainfall.

Scientists also theorize the shifting polar
vortex could be responsible for fiercer winter
storms across western North American and
western Europe as higher temperatures in the
lower, more-populous latitudes clash with the
very cold temperatures above the North Pole,
generating high-altitude winds that later pull
heat and moisture from the Atlantic and Pacific
oceans.



NATURAL PHENOMENON

While the effects of the change are becoming
clear, scientists say they are still unsure if the
shift is a natural phenomenon or part of a
broader pattern of change blamed on
accumulating greenhouse gasses.

"We can't be sure that what we're seeing is
not natural," said John Wallace of the
University of Washington.

Those who believe man may be to blame
theorize that as greenhouse gases warm the
lower atmosphere they are cooling the upper
atmosphere, setting up a climate change that
is slowly drawing the vortex winds closer to
the pole.

Many weather observers hope the trend will
become clearer over the next several years.

While the past couple of winters have seen a
return to higher pressures over the Arctic and
more wintry weather over parts of the
Northern Hemisphere, they will be watching to
see if this trend holds -- if it does, it could
mean that the earlier change in polar winds
was part of a natural cycle that is now
returning to normal.

If the coming winters shift back toward
warmer weather, however, "it would be
enough to convince most scientists that the
changes are human induced, that they're not
going to go away, and that they may be an
indicator of even bigger changes to come,"
Wallace and Thompson said in a release.



To: pheilman_ who wrote (1265)12/17/1999 10:11:00 PM
From: Maurice Winn  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12245
 
***Fuel Cell Virtual Conference. PS: Have a heart*** Fuel cells are likely to provide the electrons for cellphones, so check it out. wcnonline.com

Personally, I think fuel cells are a dead loss for cars, but for buses and cellphones they should do okay. Cars are clean enough on high octane fuels, especially if they have catalytic converters, lean burn, good engine management systems and other technology. Buses and trucks on diesel [and cars, vans and any other diesels without particulate traps or other cleaning systems] are disgusting in a city. The high capital cost of fuel cells is more easily justified on a bus than a car [which isn't used so much].

But as energy for cellphones, fuel cells should be winners and they'll make high-powered WWeb devices with big screens and great ASICs running bloatware acceptable. Topping up with methanol is easy and cheap. Just slip another can in the slot! Or even pour it in and it will fill the gaps between the electronics so the battery takes a tiny space and the fluid acts as an ASIC coolant too.

All technology leads to WWeb.

Mqurice

PS: On Doctors selling hearts, it's quite an ethical embarrassment for them. They don't understand economics and supply/demand pricing so can pretend they aren't selling hearts. But they get a huge heap of money for a heart and the giver of the heart gets nothing so it's obviously the doctor doing the selling. If the heart was $100,000, they wouldn't get so much money for themselves.

You are right of course - people want the skilled people and those skills cost heaps. If surgeons didn't do heart operations, they'd do neurosurgery, eye repairs, dentistry or something else. But they choose heart transplants because it makes a lot of money. If it was car mechanic's rates, they'd rapidly lose interest.

The main question is, can anyone who can pass the tests and fund their training get to be a heart surgeon? In New Zealand, the Medical Association and Universities limit entry to medical training, turning away three times as many highly capable people as they accept. That keeps prices up and makes training inefficient.

My guess is that in the USA, the Heart Surgeon's Guild decides how many surgeons the USA 'needs', probably based on the number of hearts 'available'. That keeps prices up and the supply of hearts down.

Now, suppose it was a free market, instead of a government protected monopoly, more people would train as surgeons and there would be competition for the hearts. If hearts were valued at $500,000 a kilogram instead of nothing, then the supply would suddenly rise as next of kin and estate beneficiaries gave permission for hearts to be used.

It seems quite hurtful and revolting that people whose kin have just died are told that the heart is worth nothing, but can we have it anyway? But the surgeons collect vast fees for installing it which means it IS worth a great deal.

Competition would see surgeon fees decline to something reasonable and the supply of hearts rise enormously. The total cost wouldn't go up since $750,000 is the supply/demand balance point anyway. More likely, the price would go down as people realized they could put in their will: "Heart may be removed and sold at current market prices and I direct the proceeds go to my children for their education".

People would take any price rather than the zero they get now. Millions of people would put such things in their wills.

Suicide would be a bit on the tricky side. I don't think it would be good if depressed people thought this would be a good thing to do. Then again, it's their life, not mine to decide for them.

Sure enough, it's BMW not Mercedes with 7 series...I'm not up on cars.

How come the USA gets the JJJ-Klan onto Microsoft's monopoly, but the USA Surgeons Guild gets to run a life and death monopoly and nobody bats an eye? The consumers are certainly harmed at $750,000 a throw and the donor getting zero. Is it really $750,000?

[Joel, Janet, Jackson - Klan]