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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: jwright who wrote (29357)	12/19/1999 11:16:00 PM
From: Jack Whitley	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 42771

<<The other thing to note is that the numbers for Windows 95/98 clients were pretty much the same. Now you know why the Windows NT clients were used.>> Which is interesting in other ways as well. Question for all of you - off the top of your head, what would you estimate is the penetration for NT Workstation 4.0 on the desktops of business America ? I know we tried it where I work, and took it out and standardized on Win95. Below is a sample of 200,000 plus unique user sessions for a web site (with national interest) that I help administer, with about 60 percent of traffic coming to the site M-Fri, 8-5pm, the other 40% evening and weekends - Most Used Platforms - November 1999 Windows 98..........81,168.....40.3% Windows 95..........70,752.....35.2% Others..............24,585.....12.2% Windows NT..........11,105......5.5% Macintosh PowerPC....9,369......4.7% Windows 3.x..........3,287......1.6% Macintosh 68K..........593......0.3% SunOS..................152......0.07% Linux..................139......0.06% Windows Win32s.........103......0.05% I can take this sample up to over 2 million unique user sessions, and the percentages stay the same. Also, we regularly do reverse DNS look-ups on our traffic, and a large percentage of our traffic does come from customers surfing the site from work (we see lots of Fortune 1000 activity in the server logs). I think people are badly mistaken/mislead regarding the adoption rate over the last few years of NT 4.0 workstation. As I understand it, to fully exploit AD, will not users have to have Windows 2000 in place at the server and client? Let's change the above and assume all traffic measured was during work hours, and double the percent of NT workstation users above to 11%. If we assume 11% NT adoption, does this mean that 89% of workstations are going to be upgraded by business America to take advantage of Windows 2000? With the resource requirements of Windows 2000, does this mean a mass upgrade of hardware as well across business America to take advantage of the new value offered by Win 2000? Is there a desktop version of Windows 2000 that consumers will be forced to adopt via preload, to speed adoption as per Win98 above? jww