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To: ENOTS who wrote (12032)12/18/1999 11:10:00 AM
From: John Miz  Respond to of 21143
 
News
New competition gives cable a twist
Junko Yoshida and George Leopold

12/20/1999
Electronic Engineering Times
Page 1
Copyright 1999 CMP Publications Inc.

LOS ANGELES - The cable TV world tuned in to fast home networks and
cable telephony as the future of a converged network at the Western Show
here last week. But a heavy dose of uncertainty was in the air, thanks to the
arrival of a formidable new competitor-AT&T Co.-and a debate over which
killer apps the service providers will need to conjure up if they are to lure
consumers to this broadband world.

With mergers and consolidations breaking up the old gang of cable operators,
and with new players like AT&T barging in, the cable industry no longer
speaks with one voice. "Cable operators now have disparate agendas," said
Leo Hindery Jr., the former president of AT&T Broadband & Internet
Services.

For its part, AT&T is seeking to develop new services like cable telephony to
differentiate itself from its key competitor, local phone carriers. "We want to
evolve to a network with an [Internet Protocol] backbone," said Lois
Hedgepeth, president of AT&T's Consumer Marketing Division. "How do we
take advantage of the large amount of bandwidth available to the home? The
secret in my opinion is new applications."

Cable operators must find those hot applications fast. Fierce competition from
satellite operators and phone companies is cranking up the pressure. At the
same time, Internet service providers such as America Online are demanding
that cable operators make room for their services on the cable TV broadband
pipe. Without solid strategies and aggressive plans to compete, "The game is
ours to lose," warned Ted Turner, vice chairman of Time Warner.

Helping push cable set-top boxes forward, Lucent Technologies last week
detailed a trio of home-networking chips that use telephone wiring to create an
in-home network. Lucent said these are the first devices to integrate
phone-line networking, traditional modem and Ethernet capabilities onto one
piece of silicon (see story, page 6). Meanwhile, Texas Instruments Inc. and
Com21 Inc. rolled new chips to ease the path toward cable telephony (see
stories, this page and page 16).

"Although we are still in a prehistoric era for voice-over-Internet Protocol,
[cable operators] are interested in moving to offerings very quickly," said Eric
Dewannain, general manager of cable broadband systems at TI.

Indeed, at a time when the cable industry hopes to expand broadband services
not only for digital video, but also for high-speed data and IP telephony, the
need for technology solutions is diversifying. As a result, the traditional cable
industry culture-with a few select companies such as General Instruments and
Scientific-Atlanta supplying key technology for development of proprietary
solutions-is being radically altered. The mantra in cable today is "open
systems," allowing more choices both for service operators and consumers.

An executive at Motorola Inc., which expects to complete its acquisition of
set-top box manufacturer General Instruments by Jan. 7, said the uncertainties
hitting the cable industry as it struggles to find applications for the home are
creating new opportunities for a handful of vendors. Merle Gilmore, president
of Motorola's communications enterprise unit, said the GI acquisition and
related alliances position Motorola to take advantage of the "disruptions"
arising from the merger of telecommunications, information and video
networks.

Motorola is banking on wireless access technology, for which it has formed
an alliance with Cisco Systems, to bring cable bandwidth to home networks.
"Wireless will be the home LAN of choice," Gilmore predicted.

The General Instruments acquisition will mean the merger of a series of cable
telephony and set-top box field trials the two companies have scheduled to
begin next year. GI separately announced a series of deals here for the sale of
several million of its DCT-5000 digital set-top boxes. Paul Allen's Charter
Communications Inc., for example, has agreed to purchase up to 1 million
boxes over the next two years.

Targeting major cable operators like AT&T, GI also unveiled a digital
return-path platform that uses an optical link operating at 2.5 Gbits/second to
relay return-path signals from cable hubs to headends. In addition, GI said it is
working with Lucent Technologies to expand its IP telephony offerings.

The blistering pace of changes in cable is forcing companies like Philips,
Motorola and Microsoft to make dramatic changes in their organizations in
order to keep up. Microsoft Corp. said in November that it had reorganized its
TV unit into separate WebTV-network and TV-platform groups. Similarly,
Philips has moved its 800-person set-top technology operation out of Europe
to Sunnyvale, Calif., to be closer to the action. That group, now called Home
Access Solutions, covers a broad range of consumer devices that go into a
digital home, including everything from satellite, cable and terrestrial set-top
boxes to personal digital video-recording and home-networking technologies.

Philips announced its first foray into the U.S. cable market, a deal to supply an
undisclosed number of set-tops to cable operator MediaOne's Jack- sonville,
Fla., network. "The U.S. cable industry is finally moving to open standards,"
said Willem de Zoete, president of Philips Home Access Solutions. "We felt
[the chance to enter the market] is now or never."

The Philips group also oversees partnerships already in place with many U.S.
companies in the set-top business, including AOL TV, DirecTV, EchoStar,
TiVo and Microsoft's Web TV.

Furthermore, technology solutions offered by set-top vendors such as GI,
Scientific-Atlanta and Philips are no longer tied to a single operating system or
a single set of middleware.

GI, for example, has two set-top models. Its advanced digital set-top box, the
DCT-5000+, runs GI's proprietary operating system, Liberate's software
platform and MicrosoftTV, which is based on Windows CE. This high-end
model uses a MIPS processor, ATI Technology's 2-D/3-D graphics processor
and Broadcom's Docsis-compliant front-end chip and MPEG-2/AC-3
decoding IC.

Two CPUs, two OSes

Meanwhile, Scientific-Atlanta has three set-tops, the 2000, 3000 and 6000,
each designed to run the PowerTV operating system on a Sparc CPU. Its
advanced 6000 model, however, uses dual processors-Sparc and Hitachi's
SH4-to run dual operating systems: PowerTV and MicrosoftTV. It also comes
with Docsis-compliant modem and HDTV decoding capabilities.

Philips also has two set-tops. The box MediaOne is buying runs the
MediaHighway software platform from Canal+, running on
STMicroelectronics' ST20, with 8 Mbytes of SDRAM and 6 Mbytes of flash.
Philips' advanced set-top-which will be offered to European cable operator
UPC, and is due for launch in mid-2000-runs MicrosoftTV on a MIPS CPU,
and packs a TriMedia 1300 processor to handle media decoding. The box
integrates a two-way cable modem.

December 20, 1999



To: ENOTS who wrote (12032)12/18/1999 12:07:00 PM
From: Don Hand  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21143
 
Monday and after predictions.
I think the last three days were MM's buying scared individual's
great 1999 returns. Now it's time for the big boys (and girls) to
play. After SEAC splits and their stock declines (MM's now at work
over there) next week, I see Sam's prediction of an analyst outing.
I predict Merrill Lynch (which was easy after Wall Street Week Friday). TWX has gone to great effort to make sure that the playing
field has more than one vendor. After next week there will be enough float on SEAC for Merrill Lynch to pick both along with TWX.
Soundview also may appear on SEAC as well. Someone told SEAC's board
to split.

I sold my small amount of IATV. Looks like dead money until they
dillute on there secondary. (PAMC is also dead until the merger
although a buying opportunity).

SFA needs more capacity. TWX may have just bought the plant.
Maybe they should offer to buy Pioneer's STB business.
Their service revenue will be huge supporting these technologies
for the cable companies.

GI's investment in DIVA is strange at this stage.
It must be HDTV related; maybe they are no longer with Sarnoff.

CCUR should get press from Intertainer and ADSL deals.

The most interesting city in play may be NYC with multiple cable
companies. CCUR may be there with someone else other than TWX
like RCNC.

And the big mystery from the show UIC. Unisys. Unisys was the lead
contractor(I think) years ago when CCUR was in the weather server business (NEXRAD ?) Now they are back again.
We also have not heard much from the RT business. Did all of their
legacy system customers get upgraded for Y2K ?

In conclusion

I WANT MY PVC