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To: scotty who wrote (80454)	12/20/1999 1:27:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum	Respond to of 86076

sure, just because there hasn't been a big war for a long time now, doesn't mean there never will be again. i suspect in fact that as soon as the U.S. economy has a more than cursory setback, the motivation of e.g. China to remain relatively docile with regards to Taiwan, will be gone. that motivation being all those exports to the U.S. China has immense economic problems, and regards the U.S. as a rival and enemy. a confrontation would be a great way to divert peoples' attention from the collapsing economy. a U.S. administration faced with economic problems at home would likewise be more likely to adopt a confrontational stance. it is a fact of human development and history that we have phases of progress interrupted by setbacks...and the setbacks often produce wars.