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Technology Stocks : Novell (NOVL) dirt cheap, good buy? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DJBEINO who wrote (29374)12/20/1999 7:44:00 PM
From: Paul Fiondella  Respond to of 42771
 
Here's the full SmartMoney analysis from the WSJ

Stocks With Potential
Aren't Always Pricey

By STEVEN SWARTZ

They're some of our favorite stocks, well-positioned for a wireless, online world. Broadcom. JDS
Uniphase. Inktomi.

They're also incredibly expensive, even if you do believe that everything is different now. Broadcom's
price/earnings ratio, based on this year's earnings, is 382.8, compared with 44.1 for the average
stock. Inktomi doesn't even have earnings, and JDS slid into the red on recent write-offs, but both
have stock prices above $150 a share.

Time to sell? Not necessarily, but it may be time to add a stock or two to your portfolio that you've
bought not solely based on potential -- like all these wireless and Internet plays -- but one based on a
more old-fashioned notion of value, where the stock price seems downright reasonable based on the
companies' potential.

Believe it or not, that's actually getting easier to do, as more
and more stocks get left behind by the market's obsession with
the newest technology. Again, we believe in this revolution
wholeheartedly, but it doesn't mean there aren't some other
good buys out there.

In fact, even in tech, there are some sectors that the current
rally has left behind, or left behind relative to the highest fliers

Recently, SmartMoney financial editor Jersey Gilbert led a
team searching for companies that had both good business
potential and stocks that were reasonably priced, and we
named them our Best Investments for the year 2000.

Two of them that we'll focus on here are actually in the tech
sector. The first is Novell, a software veteran whose stock has lately been left in the dust by the likes
of Veritas Software and Juniper Networks. Still, Novell is thriving in the market of linking or
networking various computer systems. Hanging over Novell is the threat of more competition from
Microsoft, but the analysts we've spoken to think that's overblown. At 29 times next fiscal year's
expected earnings, Novell strikes us as an unusual bargain in a very heated sector.

Then there is Citrix Systems, a software leader in the Internet side of the networking universe. Citrix
makes it easy for a computer user to access Internet applications from a central server as if the
application were on the user's own machine, keeping systems from getting bogged down with too
many applications and thus speeding everything up. Citrix has had a strong run lately, up more than
$20 since it caught our eye a few weeks ago. But with a P/E ratio of 83 based on the past 12
month's earnings, its price is still relatively attractive for a company that could play a big role in the
future growth of the Net.

-- Steven Swartz is editor-in-chief of SmartMoney magazine. Contact him at: The Wall Street
Journal Sunday, 200 Liberty St., New York, NY 10281. Email: personal.business@wsj.com