SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Idea Of The Day -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (30153)12/21/1999 1:21:00 PM
From: Lee  Respond to of 50167
 
Hi Ike,..Re:. I think I like to be an informed investor but ready to take what market is giving me

Excellent post Ike, thanks for your thoughts. As for MOT at $145, I just unloaded some Jan 130 calls. Bought in last Tuesday for 7 3/8 and watched it go down to 5+ so I doubled down and got more at 5 5/8. <gg> Classic case of catching the falling knife! <g> So when it got to 145 this morning, I decided to not be greedy but to be grateful instead and got out at 18 7/8! (I think this is beginner's luck)

Also, just bought some CMB Jan 80s for 1 3/4 and some CPQ Jan 30 for 9/16! Don't know if this was a good idea or not, but BKX is improving and CMB just crossed back above the 50 period ma. Plus, the Christmas season is generally good for the PC makers.

quote.lycos.com

Might be a good play if the market is still in a good mood.<g>

Best,

Lee



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (30153)12/21/1999 1:28:00 PM
From: IQBAL LATIF  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 50167
 
IIS could be ready for recovery
New investment, hot market could spur revival

<<I like the new Israeli companies like GILTF CMVT.. I would think a great prospect.. I would like
to study these companies more closely...Ike>>

By Eliav Alalof, CBS MarketWatch
Last Update: 11:58 AM ET Dec 21, 1999 Silicon Stocks

HAIFA, Israel (CBS.MW) -- IIS Intelligent Information Systems, an Israeli storage network company whose shares collapsed in the mid-1990s, may soon see a revival as demand for more storage space boosts the fortunes of the networking computer group.

An expected six-fold growth in storage capacity in the next three years and a tripling of storage connections has shares of many companies in this group rising. But IIS has until recently sat out the party as it struggled to recover from several wasted years pursuing a mainframe technology instead of a software one.



IIS is banking on its year-old offspring, StoreAge Networking Technologies, to write its success story. Recently, IIS and StoreAge got a vote of confidence from Ophir Holdings and Israeli venture capital firm Genesis, which invested $1.6 million each.

"IIS has an excellent solution for large organizations with massive loads of storage," said Eddie Shalev, managing partner at Genesis Partners. "I think that (IIS spinoff) StoreAge is positioned to be a leader in this area and is one of the few companies that still remain independent."

On Tuesday, the company's (IISLF: news, msgs) shares rose 2 1/8 to 5 7/16.

The SAN revolution

StoreAge develops systems to connect servers and storage peripherals but also offers software features such as information and volume management.

"In essence, the SAN revolution is going to do to centralized storage companies the same thing the PCs did to the mainframe industry," said IIS Chief Executive Robi Hartman.

The action in the storage area network sector, sometimes referred to as "fiber channel," is just starting to heat up. "Fiber channel has the potential to be the next tornado within the overall networking industry," according to a recent report from Robertson Stephens analysts Paul Johnson and Ara Mizrakjian.

International Data Corp., a leading research firm, projects that fiber channel will grow from 20 percent of storage interconnections this year to 60 percent by 2002. With storage capacity expected to grow about sixfold in that time, IDC figures the market for products based on fiber-channel technology will blossom from $2 billion in 1998 to $15 billion in 2002.


IIS's history

IIS went public in November 1984, when it raised $5 million on Nasdaq at a split-adjusted $4.50 per share. In August 1993, IIS did a secondary offering, raising $20 million at $63 per share. In the following weeks, the stock reach its historic high at $100. Then it was all down hill till the rock-bottom low of 31 cents per share in December 1998.

Hartman, formerly the CEO of Teledata, an Israeli telecommunications equipment manufacturer, took the reins in late 1998. Up to that point, IIS had been unsuccessfully engaged in the development of intelligent peripheral products targeted at the IBM mainframe computing environment.

Hartman sold off all the IBM-related activities and got rid of the manufacturing plant, leaving the company with 12 engineers in the 58.5 percent-held StoreAge subsidiary, which he believes is the company's best bet for the future.

And he's not the only one with such an optimistic view. Yehuda Zissapel, president of the RAD-Binat Group, one of Israel's most respected technology incubation houses, said the SAN area "is growing hand in hand with the need for server and memory; therefore, the need for solutions like StoreAge's is increasing exponentially."

The current lineup

Currently attracting attention in the field are such entries as Ancor Communications (ANCR: news, msgs), Brocade Communications Systems (BRCD: news, msgs), Emulex (EMLX: news, msgs), JNI (JNIC: news, msgs), Gadzoox Networks (ZOOX: news, msgs) and QLogic (QLGC: news, msgs), which was spun off out of Emulex (EMLX: news, msgs) and Vixel (VIXL: news, msgs). All are up 100 percent or more from their recent IPOs or from the beginning of the year.

Hartman pointed out that over the past few months consolidation and prices for companies in the SAN area have increased substantially. In July, IBM (IBM: news, msgs) purchased Mylex (MYLX: news, msgs) for $240 million. In September, Dell (DELL: news, msgs) purchased ConvergeNet Technologies for $340 million. Adaptec (ADPT: news, msgs) purchased DPT for $235 million in November. And, this month, Seagate (SEG: news, msgs) purchased XIOtech Corp. for $360 million.

"1999 was the year of the SAN infrastructure (backbone) buildup -- for companies like Brocade, which manufacture switches and other hardware," he said. "The year 2000 will be the year of the software applications, for companies like IIS."

Eliav Alalof is an Israel-based writer.



To: IQBAL LATIF who wrote (30153)12/21/1999 3:07:00 PM
From: FJV  Respond to of 50167
 
Ike,

Thanks for your reply. Your point regarding the relative impact of pension fund liquidity more than offsetting any Fed drainage in February is well taken. Thanks for the insight.

Well, as expected, the Fed stood pat, and the equity markets love it - we knew they would. Also, as expected, however, the bond, after a rally this AM has now weakened and the long bond yield now stand at 6.45% as of this writing. Amazingly, the BKX is showing phenomenal strength in the face of still suspect bond market. I suppose the BKX was just very oversold, especially short term. If the long bond yield does not improve, it will be interesting to see if the BKX has truly broken to the upside for a sustained move or if this is just a short covering rally. We'll know soon enough. I suspect that if the long bond goes to 6.5% in the short term, there will be renewed pressure on the BKX and in the rest of the markets.

Ike, I still believe that higher interest rates can, at least temporarily, get in the way of this juggernaut. Some, like Don Wollanchuk (sp), believe that prices will explode to the upside concurrent with higher inflation and higher bond yields. I guess I'm just not wise enough to get my mind around that one.

By the way, BRK.B and the XMT are acting poorly today - a day when the Naz Comp is up over 90 points - interesting divergences.

Regards,
Franco