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To: Jimbo Cobb who wrote (74267)12/21/1999 1:55:00 PM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Every PIG has its day! El



To: Jimbo Cobb who wrote (74267)12/21/1999 1:59:00 PM
From: Elwood P. Dowd  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 97611
 
Prudential's Acampora Bullish for 2000

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Ralph Acampora, chief technical strategist
for Prudential Securities and one of the stock market's prominent
long-term bulls, said on Tuesday the Nasdaq could hit 5,000 next
year as stocks see double-digit gains.

For the year 2000, Acampora expects the Dow Jones industrial
average to move up to 13,500 to 14,000. If it hits the top of his
range, that would be a 25.6 percent gain over Monday's closing
level.

He sees the broader Standard & Poor's 500 Index at 1700 to 1800,
which would be up 27 percent.

Acampora said he expects tech stocks to surge even higher than
blue chips. He predicted the Nasdaq could jump to 4,800 to 5,000.
The milestone 5,000 mark is 37 percent above Monday's close.

The three major U.S. stock averages have racked up gains of
roughly 20 percent for an unprecedented four years running and
seem close to doing so again in 1999. For the year so far, the Dow
is up 21 percent, the Standard & Poor's 500 Index is up 15 percent,
and the Nasdaq has surged 72 percent.

Acampora said he does not think the narrow ''breadth'' that has
been plaguing the market will be a serious obstacle to gains for the
indexes in 2000. Many analysts who follow this indicator, which
monitors the ratio of advancing stocks to decliners, turned bearish
and have been gnashing their teeth since they missed November's
fat market gains.

He said a similar deterioration occurred in the bull market he dated
from 1949 to 1966. ''It appears that major long-term bull markets do
not need to witness new highs in breadth to confirm their
existence,'' he wrote in a report.

However, the narrowness does mean that investors must carefully
choose their stocks, since the gains might not be widespread.

''The forecast ... might not be a smooth ride -- inflationary concern
will likely rear its ugly head,'' he wrote. He said interest rates were
not yet threatening to burst out of their range, but that a possible
upside breakout from their recent trading range could take the yield
on the U.S. 30-year Treasury bond to 6.75 percent in 2000.

Acampora believes the market could correct downward from 5 to 10
percent but despite this, a ''super bull market'' is in place, led by
technology stocks.

Acampora is a technical analyst, meaning he uses charts of past
stock performance for the most part, and not fundamentals such as
sales or profits, to make his forecasts.

Acampora has been bullish and correct on the market since June
1995, earning himself a red 1962 Corvette from Prudential. But his
reputation skyrocketed with his June 1997 forecast that the Dow
would hit 10,000 by the end of June 1998. With the Dow at roughly
7,700, it was considered an outrageously bullish call. The average
crossed the milestone on March 16 and by April, was solidly above
the line.

Among his top picks of stocks he says are currently making strong
bases, readying for an upward move, were AT&T Corp. (NYSE:T -
news), Compaq Computer Corp. (NYSE:CPQ - news), Dayton
Hudson Corp. (NYSE:DH - news), PepsiCo Inc. (NYSE:PEP -
news), ExciteAtHome Corp. (NasdaqNM:ATHM - news) and Lincare
Holdings Inc. (NasdaqNM:LNCR - news)

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T
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26 1/4
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35 1/8
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-2 3/32
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