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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Cathedra who wrote (35627)12/21/1999 4:07:00 PM
From: KeepItSimple  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
Thats because retail investors dont trade bonds. The people who handle bonds are professionals, and they know EXACTLY what the fed is doing. I've got two friends who work in the bond pit and NOBODY believes any of the government statistics anymore, and they think greenspan is simply trying to avoid having the fed's powers revoked when the bubble inevitably collapses. In 1929, the fed (which is a privately owned corporation) was nearly kicked out of the country after the market crashed. The fed will do ANYTHING it can to prevent that. People MUST understand that the fed is a PRIVATE, FOR PROFIT organization. It makes more money every year than microsoft. The figureheads are appointed by the government as a concession to appease the public. Nothing more.

>All new 52-week highs, of course. But unlike yesterday, the long bond
>yield is starting to accelerate upward. IMHO, that is an ominous sign
>of looming inflation.



To: Cathedra who wrote (35627)12/21/1999 4:19:00 PM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 99985
 
Tom, it is largely a verdict on current Fed policy...and thus a reflection on future inflation trends. the Fed is not only behind the curve, it has thrown gasoline on a fire. the economy is clearly overheating, and the gigantic rise in money supply will do nothing to mitigate that. if current conditions look too good to be true, that's because they are. remember, there is no free lunch.

regards,

hb



To: Cathedra who wrote (35627)12/21/1999 4:54:00 PM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 99985
 
There's also the prospect of Japan marketing floating interest rate bonds to fund the stimulus program. The days of getting a free ride on essentially zero interest rate loans are coming to an end.