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Technology Stocks : Lucent Technologies (LU) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: MMW who wrote (11913)12/23/1999 11:22:00 PM
From: Techplayer  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21876
 
MMW, What is your point? If you want to compare this to a company that is an enterprise play, say....CSCO, there is no comparison. You need to compare apples to apples. Once CSCO becomes even a minority player in the telecomm network space and needs to provide similar finance deals, you can draw a true comparison. Have a great holiday. Brian



To: MMW who wrote (11913)12/24/1999 10:54:00 AM
From: Chuzzlewit  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 21876
 
MMW,

Thank you for posting the cash flow summaries. But as one who has been critical of LU's recent cash flow, I must point out that the report is highly misleading for several reasons.

First, the report is cumulative. That means, for example, that the report indicates that cash flow from operations has been positive and growing for the last two quarters, not negative.

Second, cash flow from operations includes cash expenses for restructuring. Those charges were made in the past, and are non-recurring. Therefore, it is a mistake to assume that such cash expenses will be an on-going part of operations. The 10-K makes this clear. $141MM in such charges were taken during the year.

Third, The MSN definition of free cash flow is one that I am very uncomfortable with. I would not subtract dividends, nor would I include any financing or investing cash flows that are not related to the purchase or sale of capital expenditures or mergers. Thus, my estimate of FCF for the year is (<$276.0> +169.0 - $2,479 = <$2,586MM>), not the <$2,977MM> reported by MSN.

This is not to say that I am unconcerned. I am concerned because of the growth of receivables (up almost $3.2BB for the year), and inventories (up about $1.6 BB for the year).

In sum, then, I think it's a mistake to read the cash flow statements in a vacuum.

TTFN,
CTC