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Non-Tech : Dorsey Wright & Associates. Point and Figure -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ms. X who wrote (3620)12/24/1999 5:57:00 PM
From: Lost1  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9427
 
Twas the night before Christmas,
And throughout Pifferland
All the X O elves were charting
with pencils and by hand
They'd made up their short lists
Of extended stocks galore
Just waiting for the reversal
Victims of market swings no more
As they bided their time while waiting for a sign
They had time to reflect on all the wonderful time
This group of Piffers it seems
Had all become fast friends
Although they see different aspects
All strive for the same ends
How lucky they are to all have each other
Each brings a strength that is needed by another
Here's hoping and wishing that all stay as well
Every one have a GREAT ONE and don't break the spell

Happy Holidays and a Merry New Year,

With Love to all my Piffer Pals,

Kirk.com (41333bps)




To: Ms. X who wrote (3620)12/25/1999 10:19:00 PM
From: Riskmgmt  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 9427
 
Jan:
Happy holidays to you.
Here is the summary that I promised to you. Also I am sending you a copy of the book as a thank you for all the help you have given to me and other newbies.

Book: Dow 36,000 by James K. Glassman and Kevin A. Hassett.

The authors question the validity of the current yardstick used to arrive at stock values and by extension the stock market as a whole, what they refer to as the "perfectly reasonable price" or PRP. They argue that "too high" being a relative term is used by Wall Street and the media for a stock price RELATIVE to the historical P/E ratio.
The authors suggest that this is meaningless if, as they set out to show, stocks have ALWAYS BEEN UNVALUED. The argument is based on the fact that a risk premium has been built into stocks as they have been (incorrectly) viewed as riskier than bonds. In fact, the authors suggest stocks long term are as safe or safer than bonds.
To arrive at the PRP for a stock one has to look at the cash it puts into the pocket. They postulate that even with growth companies that pay no dividend the investor owns the company and so at some point in time will get a cash distribution. The bottom line is that when you factor in estimated growth, stocks are cheap. The Dow was at 9000 when they wrote the book and they suggest that for stocks to be correctly reflective of PRP versus bonds, the Dow would have to be at 3600. They caution not to expect this to happen overnight but a paradigm shift will occur sometime in the next 5 years.

I liked the book as the authors kept it simple and easy to follow. I would highly recommend it to all investors in stocks.

BTW.To anyone reading this. I have no financial interest in the success or failure of this book. This is JMHO please use DD and draw your own conclusions.

regards,

Ray



To: Ms. X who wrote (3620)12/27/1999 2:57:00 PM
From: Patrick Slevin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9427
 
Here is a question that has been on my mind for a few days.

In Chapter 7, there is mention of a J. P. Morgan Index. Where might I find this, is it on New York's Cotton Exchange? All I have is the Dollar Index, the DXY and the DX Contracts.

Is there an associated Symbol and on what Exchange would I find it tracked, if at all?

Inquiring minds want to know, thanks in advance.