To: Jenna who wrote (76713 ) 1/17/2000 5:04:00 PM From: Jenna Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 120523
Earnings Plays Profits Surpass Momentum plays in the last 10 days... Earnings plays outdid all the other plays in volume and price this last week. companies like PHTN, COHU, CTXS, KLAC, CREE, RFMD XLNX, MOT, INTC, COSI (on Stocks in the News page> IONA, AVX, MERQ.. In fact in Tuesday's Investor's Business Daily Section (Most active and "Where The Big Money's Flowing") we found a good deal of our earnings plays: KLAC up 18 1/4 and called out days before it hit this big, CREE, CTXS, COHU (3rd place), MTSN (4th place on the list) CTXS up 13 13/16, MOT (a buy all week) and INTC ( a 6 day hold) all appear on this list. AMCC, GALT, TEVA, PRLX MTSN, BBOX,and XLNX hold their places on this list. MIPS a great multi-day gainer dropped only 5/8 and AMCC only gave back 1 3/8 after substanially higher gains. CONCLUSION: 1) the technology sector, whether small, mid or large cap are still the leaders when the earnings are backing them up. 2) Swing and position trades (the biotech sector called early) are the most profitable well outdoing the average daytrade. By putting in stops and trailing you are relatively safe from losing too much of your profits as you take the stock home. Our foreign ADR TRAA did terrific and SNRS did in fact get FDA approval for their laser. From the 13th January watch List: Note how CTXS, KLAC, RFMD, NEWP popped nicely. MOT also looks good if a little pricey. Watch List December 28 and a hit since then: 3> DMIC - DIGITAL MICROWAVE CORP .TES Price= 25.0 VL/30= 286.9 %Rnge= 80.0 Sto9V= 88.2 W14dV= 81.0 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 113.6 50MA = 149.9 10MA = 119.9 moneycentral.msn.com note the mention of DMIC at right side of the article Watch list for January 10 ASWX up from 67 1/4 to 84 1/ in two days 3> GENE - GENOME THERAPEUTICS CORP .MLR to 24 by the next day Price= 16.4 VL/30= 52.1 %Rnge= 95.0 Sto9V= 51.5 W14dV= 66.2 %Hi4 = 92.6 1-Dy = 108.6 50MA = 218.4 10MA = 108.0 Still bullish on these stocks. Important part of H&Q healthcare conference. 7> ADRX - ANDRX CORP .DRU also called for the thread on December 28 at 42 1/2 was as high as 57 7/8 on Jan 14. techstocks.com Price= 51.2 VL/30= 614.7 %Rnge= 85.0 Sto9V= 63.8 W14dV= 67.2 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 115.8 50MA = 109.0 10MA = 118.0 picked it up a while back and for the first time in a long while its doing rather well. Phase II Clinical Trials are Successful On Andrx Once-A-Day Diabetes 4> VTSS - VITESSE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP .ESE Price= 46.0 VL/30= 522.0 %Rnge= 52.0 Sto9V= 15.6 W14dV= 40.4 %Hi4 = 81.7 1-Dy = 93.2 50MA = 93.3 10MA = 88.7 VTSS Article Looking for an "anticipatory earnings" pop. Too risky to hold through earnings unless you want to chance an option call. Watch List for January 10, 2000 Still bullish on the biotech's, especially NBIX, GLGC, ABSC, GENE, HYSQ Watch List will be on website early this morning, calendar will be marked with stocks that triggered buy signals for next weeks earnings report. 3> GENE - GENOME THERAPEUTICS CORP .MLR Price= 16.4 VL/30= 52.1 %Rnge= 95.0 Sto9V= 51.5 W14dV= 66.2 %Hi4 = 92.6 1-Dy = 108.6 50MA = 218.4 10MA = 108.0 Still bullish on these stocks. Important part of H&Q healthcare conference. 4> VTSS - VITESSE SEMICONDUCTOR CORP .ESE Price= 46.0 VL/30= 522.0 %Rnge= 52.0 Sto9V= 15.6 W14dV= 40.4 %Hi4 = 81.7 1-Dy = 93.2 50MA = 93.3 10MA = 88.7 VTSS Article Looking for an "anticipatory earnings" pop. Too risky to hold through earnings unless you want to chance an option call. ADRX called on December 28, 1999 7> ADRX - ANDRX CORP .DRU Price= 51.2 VL/30= 614.7 %Rnge= 85.0 Sto9V= 63.8 W14dV= 67.2 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 115.8 50MA = 109.0 10MA = 118.0 picked it up a while back and for the first time in a long while its doing rather well. Phase II Clinical Trials are Successful On Andrx Once-A-Day Diabetes 9> SSTI - SILICON STORAGE TECHN INC .ESE Price= 33.6 VL/30= 177.8 %Rnge= 89.0 Sto9V= 16.2 W14dV= 44.8 %Hi4 = 72.7 1-Dy = 113.5 50MA = 103.7 10MA = 89.8 A frequent watch list pick and second time Earnings Play. This has already triggered a buy signal on Friday. SSTI had a Wilder and 50 day moving average breakout.. An opportunity perhaps to buy a great company on a dip. Oversold stochastic. Classic RSI breakout, 40 would be a 20 day moving average breakout. 10> ASWX - ACTIVE SOFTWARE INC .DSO Price= 69.5 VL/30= 122.0 %Rnge= 100.0 Sto9V= 19.2 W14dV= N/A %Hi4 = 73.1 1-Dy = 94.5 50MA = 94.9 10MA = 81.0 Good recovery, fell through the floor of its trading channel for the first time EVER on to rebounded and bounce off its bottom channel.. Trading just below its 50 day MA, look for about 71 1/2 and bounce off the 50 day MA..( on daily chart) For daytraders, ASWX already closed above its 20 period MA and if it continues will be a continuation of short term uptrend. 11> PRLX - PARLEX CORP .ECC Price= 24.0 VL/30= 60.4 %Rnge= 100.0 Sto9V= 36.0 W14dV= 52.8 %Hi4 = 88.8 1-Dy = 103.2 50MA = 115.3 10MA = 99.6 A really good stock that got oversold and is near a 20 day moving average breakout, also an earnings play. It has beat earnings estimates for the last four quarters. In the first quarter of fiscal 2000 ended Sept. 26, revenue was $20. million, up 32% from the prior year's same quarter. Net income jumped 400% to 28 cents a share from last year's $0.94 cents. marketgems.com 12> RATL - RATIONAL SOFTWARE CORP .DSO Price= 46.1 VL/30= 127.4 %Rnge= 98.0 Sto9V= 23.1 W14dV= 47.0 %Hi4 = 88.6 1-Dy = 106.9 50MA = 98.0 10MA = 96.4 Probably one of my favorites for 2000. Oversold, and beneath its 20 day moving average. Friday it closed up strongly near the high of the day. Exactly like SSTI, RATL fell beneath its trading range but recovered to close within but near the bottom. Remember we're talking a stock with very high revenue and earnings growth right after a correction and before earnings. Good formula for potential trade or longer term hold. Watch List for January 11, 1999 ACVC broke out fabulously on Monday as did COHU. 10> ARQL - ARQULE INC .DBI Price= 12.8 VL/30= 271.5 %Rnge= 100.0 Sto9V= 84.3 W14dV= 70.5 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 112.0 50MA = 181.3 10MA = 124.4 Agenda of the h&M conferenceconf01.hamquist.com 4> RFMD - RF MICRO DEVICES INC .ESE Price= 74.1 VL/30= 78.2 %Rnge= 96.0 Sto9V= 38.2 W14dV= 56.6 %Hi4 = 94.7 1-Dy = 106.3 50MA = 108.4 10MA = 104.7 rached a high of 87 on Friday January 12, 1999 Watch List 1> NEWP - NEWPORT CORP .SPE Price= 50.9 VL/30= 155.3 %Rnge= 82.0 Sto9V= 65.6 W14dV= 63.9 %Hi4 = 92.6 1-Dy = 105.0 50MA = 143.3 10MA = 105.4 marketgems.com 9> GALT - GALILEO TECHNOLOGY LTD .ESE Price= 24.9 VL/30= 225.3 %Rnge= 3.0 Sto9V= 45.2 W14dV= 54.5 %Hi4 = 97.7 1-Dy = 101.7 50MA = 105.6 10MA = 102.3 excellent for earnings play (out Jan 18) to be upgraded BEFORE earnings [ on the most active List "Where The Big Money's Flowing] on Investor's Business Daily Tuesday January 18 edition 10> ESST - ESS TECHNOLOGY as high as 26 on Friday Price= 22.5 VL/30= 243.4 %Rnge= 90.0 Sto9V= 63.4 W14dV= 57.5 %Hi4 = 98.0 1-Dy = 107.7 50MA = 112.0 10MA = 106.1 chart for this one on website later.. excellent news and chart patterns ESST Chart: marketgems.com January 14 earnings play and watch list 3> ELNT - ELANTEC SEMICONDUCTOR INC up to 32 Price= 28.5 VL/30= 45.8 %Rnge= 80.0 Sto9V= 33.3 W14dV= 49.8 %Hi4 = 86.3 1-Dy = 103.6 50MA = 102.4 21MA = 96.4 Always a winner.. this one should make another good report. Reports Tuesday 1/18/00 7> GNET - GO2NET INC up 02 Price= 79.0 VL/30= 67.9 %Rnge= 86.0 Sto9V= 22.0 W14dV= 45.5 %Hi4 = 86.0 1-Dy = 108.9 50MA = 95.9 21MA = 91.8 excellent close today.. but on low volume volume should pick up because GNET is reporting on Tuesday and is expecting $0.07 from $0.00. ____________________________ TO cap the first two weeks of January the December 27 list of biotechs followed every few days with more: HYSQ, ARQL,IMMU, ABSC ARQL was on the watch list twice in last two weeks: 7> ARQL - ARQULE INC .DBI Price= 9.9 VL/30= 241.8 %Rnge= 96.0 Sto9V= 88.4 W14dV= 70.6 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 123.4 50MA = 158.0 10MA = 131.0 ARQL should follow ABSC, ARQL got two deals Pfizer + Bayer Likely to be up and receive one of the best positive coverage as a result of the Hambrecht & Quist Conference Watch these at least the entire week... In fact AFFX is the leader in its gene field but CALP a new IPO is in the top 3. MDLI another nice looking iPO was already: MedicaLogic Named One of the Top 100 Electronic-Business Innovators - 9> MDLI - MEDICALOGIC INC .DSE Price= 26.5 VL/30= N/A %Rnge= 40.0 Sto9V= 85.8 W14dV= N/A %Hi4 = N/A 1-Dy = 95.0 50MA = N/A 10MA = 109.4 10> CALP - CALIPER TECHNOLOGIES CORP .MCG Price= 52.9 VL/30= N/A %Rnge= 41.0 Sto9V= 73.6 W14dV= N/A %Hi4 = N/A 1-Dy = 109.0 50MA = N/A 10MA = N/A 11> DUSA - DUSA PHARMACEUTICALS INC .DRE Price= 24.6 VL/30= 106.3 %Rnge= 66.0 Sto9V= 77.7 W14dV= 70.8 %Hi4 = 94.7 1-Dy = 98.0 50MA = 139.1 10MA = 111.2 12> PDII - PROFESSIONAL DETAILING INC .SER Price= 27.9 VL/30= 147.0 %Rnge= 88.0 Sto9V= 78.3 W14dV= 53.2 %Hi4 = 90.2 1-Dy = 104.9 50MA = 102.0 10MA = 106.1 13> HLTH - HEALTHEON/WEBMD CORP .HHC Price= 39.1 VL/30= 51.1 %Rnge= 12.0 Sto9V= 25.3 W14dV= 45.3 %Hi4 = 79.6 1-Dy = 100.3 50MA = 99.6 10MA = 98.3 14> GLGC - GENE LOGIC INC .DBI Price= 24.0 VL/30= 61.5 %Rnge= 11.0 Sto9V= 86.5 W14dV= 83.4 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 100.5 50MA = 240.7 10MA = 118.8 15> EMIS - EMISPHERE TECHNOLOGIES INC .DBI Price= 24.6 VL/30= 234.3 %Rnge= 100.0 Sto9V= 94.9 W14dV= 78.1 %Hi4 = 100.0 1-Dy = 108.2 50MA = 147.1 10MA = 115.8 16> GZTC - GENZYME TRANSGENICS CORP .DBI Price= 12.1 VL/30= 139.0 %Rnge= 18.0 Sto9V= 91.2 W14dV= 73.4 %Hi4 = 92.3 1-Dy = 92.3 50MA = 158.4 10MA = 114.4 17> GENE - GENOME THERAPEUTICS CORP .MLR VL/30= 283.2 ( 92) %Rnge= 94.0 ( 78) 7Dy%P= 73.0 (81) 7DyFG= 11.0 ( 92) Vol = 3475.4 ( 99) Range= 3.7 (95) %Hi26= 100.0 ( 99) Price= 17.2 ( 71) ________________________________