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To: Tony Viola who wrote (94746)12/30/1999 5:38:00 PM
From: puborectalis  Respond to of 186894
 
Cohen keeps 2000 targets
Goldman Sachs' strategist expects
8-10% market growth, but urges caution
December 30, 1999: 5:11 p.m. ET

NEW YORK (CNNfn) - After Wall Street's strong run
in 1999, one of the nation's top stock strategists said
Wall Street could see double-digit growth again next
year, but advised investors to be a bit more cautious
in their stock selections.
Abby Joseph Cohen, co-chairwoman of Goldman
Sachs' investment policy committee and one of the
most respected stock pickers on Wall Street, said
despite the recent surge in the Dow Jones industrial
average and the Nasdaq composite index, several
buying opportunities remain.
"At this point, we think that [Standard and Poor's
500 index] profits will be up eight to 10 percent, so
stock prices should rise about the same level,”
Cohen told CNNfn.
Cohen pointed to the financial services industry
and "other industrial cyclicals” as the most likely
areas for growth this year, but said investors still
could find some reasonably priced investments in the
energy and technology sectors (7M Quicktime movie)
as well.
"My feeling is there are some good areas of
opportunity left in the Nasdaq, but investors have to
be careful,” she said. After a wonderful year in 1999,
stocks are not as cheap as they were.”
Cohen said despite the run-up in stock prices the
last two weeks, she is maintaining her outlook
because of the strong U.S. economy and the
projected continued corporate earnings growth, albeit
at a slightly more tame level.
Just two weeks ago, Cohen predicted the Dow
Jones industrial average would close the year 2000
above 12,300 while the S&P 500 would finish above
1,525.
At the time, that would have represented a nearly
10 percent growth in the Dow Jones industrial
average and a nearly 8 percent gain in the S&P
index.
However, given the markets' growth during the
past two weeks, those estimates are beginning to
look a little too conservative. Based on Thursday's
close, those targets would now only represent a 7.4
percent jump in the Dow and a 4 percent climb in the
S&P.
Still, another Cohen prognostication looks right on.
Back in the fall she predicted a 11,450 year-end
close for the Dow. With one day of trading remaining
in, she remains only 8 points away from that goa



To: Tony Viola who wrote (94746)12/31/1999 1:17:00 AM
From: Barry Grossman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Tony,

Guess I didn't proofread that post this pm - but you're right that the -25F felt like -125F because of the strong wind that day. Brrrr!

I'm getting tired of the 70-80F winter days we've been stuck with so far. <g> Where's the rain?

Barry