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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (45315)12/31/1999 11:07:00 AM
From: nextrade!  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 94695
 
GZ,

Here's more food for thought,

Since 1900, 7 of the 10 years ending in zero have seen tops of varying
importance occur within the first two trading days of the zero year. Some of
the January zero year tops were secondary tops i.e. more important tops had
already been seen, but all of the 7 noted years headed down within the first
2 trading days of the year. Here are the results:
1900- Top on January 2 (1st trading day of the year) was the highest close
of the next 10 months, except for February 5 which closed 0.3% higher
1910- Top on January 3 (1st trading day) was the highest close of the next 5
years and 7 months
1920- January 3, 1920 (2nd trading day) was the highest close of the next 5
years
1940- January 3 (2nd trading day) was the highest close of the next 5 years
1960- January 4 (2nd trading day) was the highest close of the next 16
months
1970- January 5 (2nd trading day) was the highest close of the next 11
months
1990- January 2 (1st trading day) was the highest close of the next 4 months
2000- ?????

This from Peter Eliades, Stockmarket Cycles


And in respect to this, from Don Hays,

Since 1920, the market in the first 2 market days of January of the zero
year has tipped us off whether the pattern would work that year or not. If
the Dow close on either the first or second trading day of the New Year is
higher than the highest close in the preceding month (December), then the
pattern is scheduled to work i.e. a top of some significance should be
marked by the high close of the first two trading days. In the only three
zero years that have not seen the pattern work this century (1930, 1950, and
1980), the first two trading days of the zero year did not see a close which
exceeded the prior month's (December) high close.

Happy New Year GZ,

Regards,

nextrade!