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To: KyrosL who wrote (81820)12/31/1999 11:18:00 AM
From: Terry Whitman  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
Based on the Pattern that has been in place since the 200 dma x-over. The 30Yr. Yield will probably fall just below the 50 day ma (~6.25%), and should continue higher, IMO.
quote.yahoo.com^TYX&d=1ym

What is yours based on, a Mythical event? <g>



To: KyrosL who wrote (81820)12/31/1999 11:40:00 AM
From: pater tenebrarum  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 86076
 
KL, i can only agree with that if stocks begin to decline precipitously from the beginning of the year. otherwise interest rates will have to rise further...huge credit demand and the Fed's extremely accommodative policies suggest that will be a likely outcome. not to forget, rates are rising sharply in Europe and Japan as well. that means that the only way to ensure a continued willingness by foreigners to finance the HUGE 390 billion current account deficit (set to explode further in 2000) will be sharply higher, competitive rates. the nascent recovery in Europe could lead to an interest rate bidding war, as demand for capital heats up everywhere. of course, if the bubble pops, all bets are off and the bond could actually become a good buy. but not before.
jmho.

hb