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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Investor2 who wrote (36386)1/1/2000 7:04:00 PM
From: bearshark  Respond to of 99985
 
I2: I agree. A number of things could happen. This should be an interesting year with many opportunities for those that stay focused.



To: Investor2 who wrote (36386)1/1/2000 7:24:00 PM
From: bearshark  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
I2: Here is something interesting. Scroll down and look at the chart here.

stockmarketcycles.com

It puts the February 1966 to August 1982 period in perspective. Those were treacherous years but good money making years for people that stayed with it. Take a look at that beautiful consolidation formation being put in place from 1966 to 1982.



To: Investor2 who wrote (36386)1/2/2000 12:07:00 AM
From: Crimson Ghost  Respond to of 99985
 
Inestor2

Agree that we probably will see no more than a 20% correction in the Dow and S&P this year The market bubble is limited primarily to tech and big cap growth stocks like GE. Many market sectors are reasonably valued. The NASDAQ, however could easily go down 30-40% even if business is strong for the techs. Current prices for many of them discount explosive earnings growth for many years to come. At the other extreme value stock indexes should drop considerably less than the popular averages.

I would expect the big drop to occur between spring and summer. We probably will get a strong rebound late in the year, but the averages may still post significant declines for the year as a whole.



To: Investor2 who wrote (36386)1/2/2000 12:30:00 PM
From: Lucretius  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
a soft landing IS the common financial wisdom, my friend. it wasn't in 1987, hence we got one.... this time will likely be different due to the unrelenting faith in Greenspam....