To: Mike McFarland who wrote (1 ) 1/4/2000 12:30:00 AM From: RCMac Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 54
I'll play, too. Pledge $500. “My charity” is the University of Michigan Comprehensive Cancer Center. My picks, with some reasons stated without the appropriate subtlety, nuance, or trepidation: GLIA (20%) (big recovery as Adcon-L sales return and ramp up, the other Adcons make clinical progress, and maybe GLIA announces partnership(s) for 2331 and/or Adcon-A) INCY (15%) (market will notice that INCY leads the pack in the usefulness of its databases and software, in the value of its genomic IP and (possibly more important and less controversial than its patents) its contract rights to royalties for drugs developed from its IP and reagents; and maybe the market will learn to think of it more like MLNM) NBIX (15%) (still lots of room to run – two huge blockbuster candidates looking very good in phase II [CRF receptors/anxiety/etc. and GABA receptor/insomnia program], the second of these unpartnered, plus several other kickers; large institutional accumulation recently) BTRN (10%) (rights to commercial output of the best transplant medicine lab in the world, huge potential, probably closer to realization in 2000 as MEDI [we hope] moves 507 along) SEPR (10%) (huge pipeline, many possibilities for huge royalty streams; SEPR to start its levitation to reflect possible $10-12-15/share in 2003, half again that much in 2004, and again in 2005, with multiples reflecting 40-50-70% year-over-year gains) TTP (10%) (mainly for Zomaril, see posts 521-526 on “Paranoid . . . TTP” thread, starting at Message 11928092 , including MZ's splash of cold water rejoinder (#526); possible [probably long-shots] additional spice of partnership announcements re CeaVac – cancer vaccine and/or Ppheramine/Parkinson's programs) CORR (10%) (Integrelin becoming anti-clotting drug of choice in ER, over its competition, Merck's Aggrastat and Centocor's ReoPro; clinical progress for chromafiban [oral form of anti-clotting agent – Integrelin is injectible]; possible munchee) CLTR (5%) (should finally get BLA accepted, with Bexxar approval by year-end) REGN (5%)(I'll let MZ explain this one: Message 12260791 and several posts following, and Message 12403884 ) Mike, you didn't say what rules you wanted to follow. TexasDude-style, 10 picks of equal weight; assigning weightings as Miljenko did; or whatever. If you want to do TD rules, disregard these weightings and treat these as ten equal picks. (These weightings are not my own portfolio's weightings, in any event – I'm much heavier in SEPR than this, for example.) --RCM