Excellent RedHerring article on ICGE from last month...................... Capitalizing on B2B ICG's successful public offering raises important questions about the future of business-to-business e-commerce.
By Alex Gove Red Herring magazine From the November 1999 issue
Quick: name a recent initial public offering of a business-to-business electronic-commerce company. It's not easy. The public markets have been more interested in business-to-consumer startups than in business-to-business companies. But in August, the Internet Capital Group (Nasdaq: ICGE) (ICG), an operating company that holds large stakes in 35 startup business-to-business e-commerce companies, went public at a valuation of $5.4 billion on revenues of only $3.1 million.
Analysts predict that business-to-business e-commerce growth will soon surpass that of retail e-commerce. But if you believe Kenneth Fox, a cofounder and the managing director of ICG, the race to develop new business-to-business companies may be over before it has even begun. "We care about only one thing -- attaining market leadership for our companies," Mr. Fox says.
Based in San Francisco and Philadelphia (with satellite offices in Boston and Seattle), ICG now plays in 18 business-to-business markets, but it eventually plans to own bets in 50 of them. According to the company, these 50 markets represent about 70 percent of the United States' gross domestic product.
Even so, it is "pretty ballsy" for ICG to say it will dominate entire business-to-business vertical markets, says Varda Lief, a senior analyst at the IT consultancy Forrester Research (Nasdaq: FORR): "A lot of industries are not virgin anymore. I would be hard-pressed to identify a sector where someone is not planning something."
ICG's successful IPO is proof that the investment community is beginning to realize the appeal of business-to-business e-commerce. Forrester predicts that, in the United States, it will become a $1.3 trillion market by 2003. Although IDC, another IT consultancy, is slightly less optimistic -- pegging this figure at $633.7 billion -- the firm's Anna Giraldo estimates that the market's compound annual growth rate from 1998 to 2003 will be 11 percent greater than that of business-to-consumer e-commerce.
Over the years, venture capitalists have invested in their share of business-to-business deals, but none have focused on the niche to the same degree as ICG. Back in 1995, Walter Buckley and Mr. Fox, who were principals at Safeguard Scientifics (NYSE: SFE), another operating company that invests in startups, decided to back new business-to-business companies. They were particularly interested in them because they thought the Internet could significantly reduce a business's transaction costs, which include everything from procurement to customer support. They also believed that their "first-mover advantage" would be more valuable here than in a business-to-consumer market, because businesses do not change suppliers over small differences in price. The costs involved in switching are simply too high, Mr. Fox explains.
JUST A STAGE Operating companies that invest in a variety of startups are not new -- other examples are Thermo Electron (NYSE: TMO) and CMGI (Nasdaq: CMGI). Mr. Buckley (now ICG's CEO) and Mr. Fox thought this structure would be particularly useful for business-to-business e-commerce because it would allow their company to be stage independent: instead of confining itself to seed rounds or mezzanine rounds of funding, it could use its public-company listing to invest in rounds ranging anywhere from a million to a billion dollars.
Because of the Investment Company Act of 1940, public companies like ICG or CMGI that own stakes in startups can't hold more than 40 percent of their assets in minority investments. The Securities and Exchange Commission does not want companies that are essentially mutual funds to pretend that they are operating companies. But Mr. Buckley and Mr. Fox both thought that an operating company could grow startups more quickly than a venture firm could because the startups could tap into a common services infrastructure that includes recruiting services and expertise in back-office systems or knowledge of corporate "best practices."
SHAKE YOUR MARKET MAKER ICG's founders have gone a long way toward realizing their vision. Prior to its public offering, which raised $212 million, the company shelled out $129 million in acquisitions in the first half of this year -- a 260 percent increase over all of 1998. And although ICG was able to claim only $3.1 million in revenues when it went public, in the first quarter of 1999 the revenues of its collected companies (including the period before ICG took a stake in the companies) amounted to $45.4 million, an increase of 176 percent over the same period last year. (ICG's share of this amount is approximately 23 percent.) To date, only one of ICG's 35 portfolio companies -- VerticalNet (Nasdaq: VERT), an online publisher of newsletters for different industries -- has gone public, but ICG claims that two other companies will file shortly.
As for ICG's portfolio, it is designed to be complementary. Eighteen companies in the ICG stable are "infrastructure services providers." One example is CommerceQuest, which designs a communications technology that allows buyers and suppliers in any industry to talk to each other regardless of which communications protocol they are using. The others are "market makers" like VerticalNet and e-Chemicals, which provides chemical companies with a marketplace for business and helps them with fulfillment and logistics. ICG claims that its infrastructure companies will not only help grow its market makers but will also provide financial stability to ICG as a whole, since service companies' revenues are generally more stable than those of market makers.
ICG's portfolio companies seem comfortable with the arrangement. In the chemicals industry, ICG owns 42 percent of Commerx, a startup that -- under the name PlasticsNet.com -- enables the plastics industry's 20,000 buyers and 5,000 suppliers to use the Web to trade products like resin. Commerx estimates that it reduces the cost of a chemicals transaction by 10 to 30 percent, a substantial savings in what is estimated to be a $370 billion market. According to Nick Stojka, a company cofounder, Commerx has achieved these goals in large part thanks to its relationship with ICG.
Initially, Mr. Stojka says, Commerx had to "think through" the public status of ICG, including the risks involved in divulging its strategy in ICG's prospectus. But Commerx was impressed by ICG's focus. "With other VC firms, it's hard to get a partner's time," Mr. Stojka says. "But because ICG is organized as a corporation, we have at least two primary contacts there whom we can leverage."
UNCOVERED BAZAARS ICG faces several challenges. From a strategic perspective, according to Ms. Lief, "Nobody is going to own a market. Buyers don't want to trade one monopoly for another. You don't use the Net because you want to restrict your choices." She does not buy ICG's argument that companies will be reluctant to hop between markets or service companies. As for its financial stability, if the market for IPOs tanks, ICG will have to deal with a large number of illiquid investments in its portfolio.
Mr. Fox agrees that business-to-business e-commerce is a huge sector, but he says ICG's ability to participate in many different transaction sizes, as well as its exclusive focus on the segment, will give it an advantage in identifying both leading companies and promising startups. Mr. Buckley admits that his company is at the mercy of the IPO markets but claims, "Capital is not the issue. There is no lack of private capital to keep these companies growing. On the positive side, if the market closes down, we will acquire bigger stakes in our companies." This could be a problem if ICG's investors suddenly take flight; unlike private equity investors, day traders are not committed to keeping their money in one place. But Mr. Buckley says that even in a bad market, ICG can rely on its strategic shareholders -- which currently include Comcast (Nasdaq: CMCSK), Compaq Computer (NYSE: CPQ), Safeguard Scientifics, GE Capital, and IBM (NYSE: IBM) -- for funds.
ICG's success will depend on the business processes that lie at the root of the U.S. economy and the world's. The company will no doubt face a great deal of competition in the industries in which it plays. But it has already anticipated and answered many questions about e-commerce in a very short time.
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