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To: michael r potter who wrote (36532)	1/4/2000 6:13:00 AM
From: dealmakr	Respond to of 99985

Hi Mike, Does anyone have a link to a site that list stocks going exdividend or that would give a monthly rundown of same? Good Trading Dave

To: michael r potter who wrote (36532)	1/4/2000 12:57:00 PM
From: Investor2	Respond to of 99985

Nice post. I especially like the part, "Since human emotions do not change despite business revolutions, the excess produced today will one day be replaced with white knuckle fear and loathing. No one knows the timing. Party hearty---Just be very close to the back door when the cops show up." I started to get worried in summer 1997 and I started to back off on my equity holdings at that time. That was a mistake, as stocks I sold then are now much higher. I failed to see the potential upside of the market. Luckily, I maintained a good portion of my equity holdings. I think I may have just repeated my mistake, as I trimmed my tech holdings during the last week of December. Perhaps it is just my silly aversion to easy, quick money. Best wishes, I2

To: michael r potter who wrote (36532)	1/4/2000 3:04:00 PM
From: Jacob Snyder	Respond to of 99985

Is the business cycle dead? Yes. The business cycle is dead, because it was rooted in a lack of timely information, and slow response times. It was a technological problem, and has been solved by technological advances in computers/telecom/transportation. In the Old Economy, info about what the end-consumer wanted could take years to get back to the original producer. And the data never was very detailed. Then, the producer would have to guess what products the consumer would want years in the future. It took that long to get the capital, set up the manufacturing system, train the workers, distribute the product. Inevitably, managers would guess wrong, and that is what produced the cyclic oversupply/undersupply of the business cycle. Now, if they spend enough on computers and fiberoptic cables, managers can know in real-time (and in great detail) what customers are buying. And, they can institute just-in-time flexible manufacturing, to adjust (again, in real-time) to what the customer wants. No more oversupply/undersupply. Or: No, the business cycle is not dead, because it is rooted in the way the human mind works, and that hasn't changed. Humans are herd animals. We also tend to think that the recent past predicts the future better than long-term patterns. These two flaws in our brains create the periodic overshoots in optimism and pessimism, which in turn cause the oversupply/undersupply events. New technology just causes information overload. The truth is probably a messy mix of those two answers. re: "this is a speculative mania fueled by a seed of truth-That we are in a a tech., productivity revolution, but that human greed emotion has taken it way past economic justification." Well said.

To: michael r potter who wrote (36532)	1/4/2000 4:20:00 PM
From: michael r potter	Respond to of 99985

From last evenings post 36532: "I guarantee anyone that this is not a permanent new era." and "Since human emotions do not change despite business revolutions, the excess produced today will one day be replaced with fear and loathing." Well, maybe not fear and loathing yet, but yes that was a siren in the distance above the loud music and the cops just broke in the front door and put a crimp in the party. Probably won't continue to fall apart like this, but still a lot of excess to be unwound. Mike