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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (3690)1/4/2000 5:11:00 PM
From: Investor2  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11513
 
From markethistory.com
Tue 01/04/2000 8:49 AM - SPUs: Big Gaps Lower After a 1% Fall in the Dow

By William B. Noble

FACT: On 1/3/00, the Dow Industrials declined 1%. The next morning on 1/4, the S&P futures contract gapped down 1% on the open.

Q: What happens when when S&P futures gap down 1% on the open on the day after a 1% decline in the Dow Industrials?

A: We have seen this action on 17 different occasions since 1982, on the day of that the S&P gaps lower, the contract declines over 4.25% on average during the day trading. ('87 crash included in the occurrence list). At the closing bell, we found the S&P futures contract had declined about 4% on average in 70% of the occurrences. (FYI, That means that in 30% of the cases, the S&P contract managed to close up after gapping down 1%)

After the bloody 1-day mess, the S&P contract has turned around and recouped all the losses and then some over the next 4 days by rallying almost 5% on average - 76% of the time.

Best wishes,

I2



To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (3690)1/6/2000 3:28:00 AM
From: Bull RidaH  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11513
 
GZ,

I have you buying 65 @ 1462.8846 on 1/04, and selling 15 @ 1411.50. Does that seem right?

Thanks,

David