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Strategies & Market Trends : The Stock Market Bubble -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: RockyBalboa who wrote (3010)1/6/2000 10:10:00 PM
From: C Hudson  Respond to of 3339
 
I found this VERY interesting.......

Gary North's Reality Check, #45
Excerpt

The Dow Jones Industrial Average touched 11,568.72 on
December 30. Then it fell back. Just one decade earlier,
to the week ( maybe to the day ) , the Japanese stock market
peaked at just under 40,000. It has never come close to
30,000, except on its downward slide.

This 11,568.72 number is curious. Let me explain.

I am not a follower of Elliott Wave theory. It's too
complex a system for my abilities. But last May, I
received a detailed essay from a Jean Comeau of Quebec, a
comodities advisor -- registered, he says, in Chicago. He
wanted me to post the essay on my site. It was not Y2K-
related, I told him, so I didn't.

Yesterday, he sent it to me again. His essay said
that the Dow's top would be 11,550-11,600. He wrote,

"WAVE 5: WHEN DOW JONES HITS 11560 TO 11600
POINTS. END OF MAJOR BULL MARKET, PERIOD.

He then got even more specific:

Wave 5 or 1999 = Fibonacci number 34 times 339
equals 11526 plus 43 ( crash low ) equals 11569.

Mr. Comeau is predicting a fall of over 5,000 points
in the Dow in the next two months. I think I will ask him
to do more writing for me as soon as it falls by 2,000.



To: RockyBalboa who wrote (3010)1/7/2000 9:09:00 AM
From: Dale Baker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3339
 
Getting blasted out of the water for a couple of years made a lot of bears gun-shy. Many may wait until the Naz is down 30% "just to be sure" the bubble is finished. That's when they could get whipsawed in the next leg up.

The proverbial deer in the headlights. It will also take a huge bet on the markets dropping further to begin to match what longs have made since 1997.