To: Knighty Tin who wrote (73017 ) 1/7/2000 9:28:00 AM From: BSGrinder Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
Michael, I thought you might enjoy this critique of media baloney from an excellent bear site:fiendbear.com /Kit Fiend Commentary ================ Platitudes, Platitudes I was amused by the collective wisdom doled out by the financial media on Tuesday. From Reuters to CNBC, you read or heard the same platitudes over and over. Here are twelve of them off the top of my head: 1. The decline was orderly. What does a disorderly decline look like? Do the floor traders start fighting with each other over bids? I can just see CNBC's Bob Pisani (what a weasel) reporting on a disorderly day: "I'm here at the NYSE with the Dow down over 900 points. If you look behind me, you will see that there is a riot in progress on the floor. The decline is very disorderly and the police have been summoned." 2. The fundamentals for the bull market are still intact. What fundamentals?! The fundamentals of a speculative mania? There haven't been any rational fundamentals in the past three years or more. 3. I'm not worried. Heh, heh. Of course no one is worried as long as they think they can sell out before the next guy who isn't worried either. 4. Its profit taking. Unless you bought in near the top. Someone got stuck with Qualcomm at 200 and Yahoo! at 500. Large sell-offs always start with profit taking. 5. The selling was tax related. Yeah, but no one mentioned this prior to the start of the year. It also seems a bit crazy to attribute the intense selling to individual investors. There wasn't even any evidence...it just sounded good so they media ran with it. 6. Its just a normal correction not the start of a bear market. Such statements are always made prior to the start of a bear market. 7. The decline is healthy. An all time favorite! The rise is healthy, the decline is healthy! I don't recall any Bulls being concerned over the run ups in the Internet issues. I mean would Joe Battipaglia say: "I was really bullish before, but Yahoo!'s move above 400 was really unhealthy for the stock market." The decline is healthy would be like telling an amputee that at least they lost weight. 8. The decline was due to interest rate jitters. Investors just figured out that interest rates are going up?! The yield for the 30 year treasury has risen from 4.7% to 6.6% since October of 1998 but investors wait until now to sell? The Fed raised interest rates three times late last year but the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all hit new records anyway. 9. There is no panic. Not yet anyway. Get back to us when the Dow loses 1,000 points in a day. 10. The decline was expected. ...by hardly anyone. Everyone was pretty darn bullish to start the year. Even the Bears sounded bullish and the Bulls were certain that after Y2K, a ton of money would come pouring into the stock market. 11. It is a buying opportunity. Only if there is another recovery. If there is no recovery, it would have been a selling opportunity. 12. The Dow/Nasdaq/S&P 500 is off its lows for the day. Even if the indexes were just a few points off their low, this was CNBC's favorite and it is what you heard most until the close. I get the impression that if the Dow had a session low of a loss of 1,000 points and finished 950 points lower, the CNBC air heads would still say it ended "off its lows."