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Non-Tech : Tulipomania Blowoff Contest: Why and When will it end? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: AugustWest who wrote (2456)	1/6/2000 9:06:00 PM
From: HairBall	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3543

AugustWest: Is this an '87 senerio or are we looking more at the '71-'74 bear market? Neither...a brand new scenario! Regards, LG

To: AugustWest who wrote (2456)	1/6/2000 9:28:00 PM
From: BelowTheCrowd	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3543

Neither, '87 was a one-day, 30% drop. We haven't even seen a third of that drop in three days. '73-74 was a grinding, slow decline, just a bit at a time, day after day for months. This appears to be a simple correction. The market blowing off steam. We can point to any number of times that has happened in recent years for drops of 10-20% from the high. mg

To: AugustWest who wrote (2456)	1/6/2000 9:38:00 PM
From: EL KABONG!!!	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 3543

Hello August, Is this an '87 senerio or are we looking more at the '71-'74 bear market? Just a guess on my part, but I'll opt for the '87 scenario stretched out over a few weeks early in this quarter. Why? I suspect that money will continue to pour into retirement plans, pension plans, 401k's, 403b's etc... for the foreseeable future, mostly from the baby boomers but also from Gen-Xers now. These inflow dollars likely will be partially offset by the loss of foreign monies (in particular Asian investors) who are likely to find more favorable investments in their own economies than they would find here. But, this is just my guess. Others may feel differently. KJC