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Strategies & Market Trends : New US Economy Policy -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Arthur Tang who wrote (200)1/11/2000 5:59:00 AM
From: Arthur Tang  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 435
 
World economy was seriously threatened by Chinese news of cutting back their small steel foundry in the interest of limiting capacity to arbitrarily promote inflation in China. In the mean time, America is interested in increasing capacity to build ships and bigger steel cars and trucks. The economy theories of the past believed in stagnation in economy is the best solution to stability in currency. The new economy which has been practiced for the last eight years is microeconomy in nature; and it believes in obsolescense and replacement, which practices abundance and strong currency resulted from mass production and cheap cost of making products. These practices were not new, it came with the industrial revolution. However, the new economy would not flourish, if the industry was not educated to understand its role in making obsolescense and replacement practice typical of society, today.
Strong currency is the ability to purchase many goods inexpensively to promote our standard of living. Not in any way or form the exchange rates between currencies of different countries. Microecnomy will teach the world economy a lesson, which nobody should forget. Japan, wake up, don't fool around with your currency exchange rates and ruin your economy; Equador, peg your currency and start mass production in your country.



To: Arthur Tang who wrote (200)1/21/2000 8:39:00 AM
From: Arthur Tang  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 435
 
Why Fed's interest rate change is not effecting the economy?

Interest rates and treasury instruments are tools to change and adjust monetary policies. During a stagnant economy, the slight change(increasing interest rates) effects M1,M2, and M3. Meaning cash positions are tightened. People will not have money to buy anything. It was a drastic way to slow down the economy that will take years to pump up. The government on the other hand used military build up, even when they could not afford the deficit, to pump the economy back up. The opposite actions of the federal government and the Feds worked against each other to cause this great country to have many harms to our past economy. Business cycles bankrupt much of our microeconomy.
The new economy which is void of business cycle is based on higher standard of living(obsolescense and replacement principle invented by Alfred P. Sloan, MIT and GM). This microeconomy tune up each year since 1992; created commercial credit, which is so large that Feds have no other interest rate policy that can effect it(capitalistic principle of wealth creates wealth, cost cutting creates even more wealth). The reason is basically, interest rates are effecting only those banks who borrow at overnight discount window in NYC. Most banks have liquidity, which is invested in other instruments than Treasury instruments. Interest rate increase alone therefore will be ineffective against the returns of other instruments(such as 30 year mortgage and municipal bonds). Any responsible Feds officials will not increase interest rates higher than the mortgage and muni rates, which is suicidal.

Drastic tightening by Feds using other variables may effect the microeconomy, but why should they, committing us to suicide again?