To: George Schulte who wrote (150853 ) 1/9/2000 11:15:00 PM From: Ex-INTCfan Respond to of 176387
George, here is one opinion, and you know what they say about opinions. I used to use stop losses more often than I do now. I rarely use them today. The market is too volitile and it is too easy to be shut out of a good position. I would only use rising stops at this point if I absolutely was certain I wanted to be out of a stock, but thought it might run up. In such a case, I would set a tight stop and let the chips fall where they may, not second guessing myself if the stop got hit and the stock reversed and charged upward. If you study the history of Dell, there rarely have been instances when selling the stock, either outright or because of a stop, was a winning proposition. The last year has been different. The question is, will the next year be like the last, or like those preceding it? Who knows, but that's what makes this fun! Whatever it does this year, you can bank on it being much, much higher in three years than it is now. The best time to sell is when you feel very greedy, and have visions of how much you will be worth if the stock only goes up (insert percentage). In practice, this is very difficult to do. I actually managed to do this with a little stock this past Monday in the first few minutes of trading when the market was up 120. The fact that it worked out and I was able to roll it into JDSU during the brief correction I attribute more to luck than skill. Someone else on this thread once wrote that you can't trade with scared money. I feel this was somewhat profound. If a swing of $16,000 bothers you in a week like the one we just had, maybe it would be better to buy a mutual fund and/or rebalance your portfolio, and then shut off the TV. If not, just keep riding the market. At one time, a $16,000 drop in my portfolio would have sent me into a panic. Now, its just a normal event, and I guess I should be happy about that. If you are lucky, one day your portfolio will drop $1,000,000 in value in a day and it won't bother you any more than the $16,000 drop did. But to get there, you will have to get used to bigger and bigger occasional declines in your portfolio. I doubt you will get there by using stop losses. JMHO INTCfan