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Non-Tech : The New Iomega '2000' Discussion Group -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: John Solder who wrote (3810)1/10/2000 4:07:00 PM
From: David Colvin  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 5023
 
You hope ?

I hope to hell it doesn't.
I'm torn between taking a 3 point loss and moving on and waiting until earnings. Short of blow-out earnings, I just don't see any catalyst for taking IOM up large.


John,

I certainly understand your frustration.....I've been with you guys and IOM since June of 1995 and still hold (for me) a very large position. Thankfully I sold a lot to insure my early retirement in May of 1996, then sold some more last year at $8 1/8, then bought some back some at $3 1/8.

FWIW, I'm going to go out on a real limb here!!

Call me crazy, but take heart! I believe IOM has finally wised up, has quit spending money ineffectively like it was water (such as the $1.3 million per minute....or was that for 30 seconds....Super Bowl ads) and are poised to quit reporting losses.

With that said.....if they do, indeed, earn $0.30 or so per share in 2000 due to internal cost cutting measures taken, including but not limited to:

1. Installation of their "virtual enterprise" model using Oracle software.

2. Allows for "just-in-time" delivery from their suppliers

3. Allows for "just-in-time production.....increasing inventory turns

I believe IOM could be trading at $10 - $12 per share by year end based on a P/E of 35 to 40. We'll see if I'm even close in 10 months or so.

Dave

P.S. I know, we've heard all this before. LOL!

P.P.S. One of the major regrets I have is their letting Scott Flaig go. I think that was a big mistake.



To: John Solder who wrote (3810)1/10/2000 4:40:00 PM
From: Bobo Bear  Respond to of 5023
 
I hope it does not lay an egg, but fear it might. I believe CD-RW is taking business away from the Zip drive faster than any growth that IOM can expect from Clik or its other products. So it would not surprise me if IOM does lay an egg in some upcoming quarter. Who knows, I've been wrong before.