Tuesday January 11, 7:17 pm Eastern Time
Company Press Release
JPA Predicts The Future of Semiconductors and Day
Trading
JPA's Newest Report Covers Views of the Future
TIBURON, Calif.--(BUSINESS WIRE)--Jan. 11, 2000--Jon Peddie Associates (JPA), the leading market research firm covering
digital media technology, today announced some of the ''findings'' from their latest project.
Vision 2000 and Beyond -- An anthology of ideas about computers and graphics is a collection of predictions from some of the
industry's leading personalities, senior corporate officers and JPA's own editors and analysts. Most predictions are focused on the
year 2000, but a few brave soothsayers ventured into the next 50 to 100 years.
''We did this because we wanted to mark the millennium,'' said Dr. Jon Peddie, president of JPA. ''We thought the best way to do
this was to tap into the rich brain trust we have access to and look forward -- to try and identify near term challenges and
opportunities. The people who worked on this piece live, breathe and think about the future of computers. They do it for a living.
Their combined thoughts about the near future are surprising, witty, funny and sometimes, we believe absolutely dead on.
''Of course, some individuals got carried away, straying from the business focus and began throwing out predictions about world
events. In the end, we decided to keep it all in because it made for a great read and who knows -- they may actually come true.''
Following is a highlight of specific predictions:
-- "Semiconductor devices will be made with ever-smaller features
and ever-more transistors offering more power and selling for
about the same price."
-- "The dot-com IPO and feeding frenzy will peak by mid-year but not
die."
-- "Linux will become the major alternative to Windows2000
professional (NT%) and obtain a surprising market share in
consumer electronic devices."
-- "The year 2000 will be the last year that AIB shipments outpace
integrated graphics chipset (IGC) shipments." (S3-VIA)
-- "Going forward, the biggest short-term issue facing 3D designers
-- and I mean in the next year -- is memory bandwidth."
-- Appliance computers are the wave of the future.
-- "The PC will no longer be king, but the semiconductor will be."
-- "Day trading will be outlawed when hundreds or thousands of
people lose their shirts betting on IPOs and complained to the
government..." (S3 investors vbg)
Other predictions covered topics such as: graphics, the digital home and consumer electronics, VRML, convergence,
biotechnology, nanotechnology, the Chaos Theory, the stock market, traffic patterns and Boris Yeltsin. While some of the
predictions did contradict each other, one thing was consistent throughout -- it's the content that really matters.
In addition to JPA's editors and analysts, other guest crystal ball readers include:
Theo Beisch, President, Elsa Tim Chambers, VP and GM, STMicroelectronics Richard Clark, President, Appian Graphics Ben
Delaney, President, CyberEdge George Haber, President and CEO, GigaPixel Adrian Hartog, Vice President, ATI Bill Loesch,
VP and GM, Pinnacle Bob Raikes, Managing Director, Meko Jake Richer, The Richter Scale Scott Tandy, Director of Corporate
Strategic Marketing, S3 Neil Trevett, VP, 3Dlabs Dan Vivoli, VP, Nvidia Hossein Yassaie, President and CEO, Imagination
Technologies
Vision 2000 and Beyond -- An anthology of ideas about computers and graphics can be downloaded for free from the JPA website
at www.jpa.com. |
