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Technology Stocks : Frank Coluccio Technology Forum - ASAP -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Frank A. Coluccio who wrote (940)	1/12/2000 8:05:00 PM
From: ftth	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 1782

HI Frank, this is actually in response to your reply #6245 over on Last Mile, but it relates other things I've posted here and ends up on the GbE topic so I thought I'd post here to continue that discussion. re:<< It's almost laughable to read that a system boasts 27 or 40 Mb/s speeds, and then must limit a user to 128 kb/s (and I don't care if it is only in the upstream that this limitation exists, it only goes to prove the lack of foresight some six or ten years ago), and limitations on streaming content in the downstream, and other some such limitations. Indeed it is. What's even funnier is to hear these cable CTO's say they have no plans to change anything. They think things are just dandy the way they are. Maybe CTO stands for Cable technology obsolescence<g>. Many here are aware of my many problems with my @home service, which I've had for close to 2 years now. Things got dramatically worse over the past few months, with outage periods EVERY DAY for several months continuously. They replaced the modem, the drop, every connector, and still every time I'd call the first order of business was to blame my equipment. It got really old real fast, having to spell out--over and over to each new customer support rep--all the tests I'd run on my end to prove beyond a shadow of a doubt it was their network. Their problem tracking system sucks, as does their ability to isolate problems. One interesting thing I found out was that there were only 17 people on my node. 17!!!! After nearly 2 years! (500-750 is the planned capacity according to the tech). Anyhow, a few weeks ago they started deploying DOCSIS 1.0 modems. The day my node was DOCSIS-capable I had a DOCSIS modem installed (GI SB3100). Naturally I had to spend a half hour explaining/convincing them why they should replace my modem with a DOCSIS modem. In any event the DOCSIS modem seems to have solved the problems I was having--which all pointed to noise problems but they had no real remaining handles to tweek such problems before. [The DOCSIS modem can operate in a significantly more noisy environment than the LANshitty modem.] (This luck I've had with the Docsis modem doesn't count the city-wide 10-hour outage last night...hey 10 hours drops me below 99% uptime (and well below 99.9999%) for the month...seems I'm entitled to the month for free) re>>Between now, and a fully wired "lightwire" scenario, however, there is ample time for other providers to come along and disrupt those plans. Yep. Based on those CTO comments I'd say that's a given. They'll be leapfrogged by those that can "see the light." re>>multi-sensory I/O gateways to the mind Hey, that's deep! re>>Such casual activities as "surfing the web" will seem like a quaint artifact from the past at some point, when it used to be considered a discrete and separate activity from other forms of cognitive awake time. Many of today's connotations of being wired to the Internet will be forgotten when being wired becomes a mandatory requirement of daily existence. And that'll take plenty of media juice, the stuff we call bandwidth. Yes, absolutely. You'd be amazed (or maybe you wouldn't) at how many industry folks just roll their eyes to such statements. The handwriting for the leapfroggin' I mentioned above is etched in the wall already. It just needs time to play out...and we need to see who this frog is. IMO we're in a broadband log-jam, chasm, whatever, while the industry folks seem to think we're practically at mainstream. This is the root of the problem...not recognizing where they really are, or paying attention to what's going on around them. I'm beginning to warm up to the GbE concept, except in the US it won't be driven by Cable cos. No way. Totally violates their equipment demarcation/total control heritage, and they'd have to totally revamp their network strategy to accommodate it . That will only change through outside pressures--i.e. "the frog." All the reasons I had for not liking the concept were totally due to the expected defensiveness the Cablecos would present. If I remove that constraint from my thinking, i.e. US cable involvement not necessary, it could have some wheels. It would seem to need a (or several) big backers initially. Otherwise I think it gets toppled by the NIH good-ol-boy society.