To: Didi who wrote (61966 ) 1/13/2000 9:57:00 AM From: Jim Willie CB Respond to of 152472
Fed has two agendas: 1. making treasury yields attractive enough to compete against stocks 2. hoisting back the reins on the stock market valuations the 1st is openly discussed and within their charter the 2nd is rarely discussed and outside their charter corporate bond yields are rising, as they must also compete against govt securities (bonds, bills, notes) in recent months, the spread between treasurys and corporates has dealt upward pressure on bond yields such is life competing against the stock market for money the secret to Greenspan's brilliance is extremely paradoxical he follows the shortend of the credit market, and does NOT dictate to it or attempt to lead it right now, the shortend is rising in yield Greenspan will raise rates to match the free credit market the free credit market has raised rates for the above reasons the "wealth effect" is real with stocks and has created wealth available for spending heck, I plan to spend in a miserly way gotta shake loose the shackles of my lower middle class roots those parental Depression Era teachings are more imprinted than I admit but for God's Sake, let the market do what it wishes people will manage their own money and not spend uncontrollably so what if yachts and BMW's experience untoward strong demand ??? no inflation with CPI today, again (broken record, not the issue) bonds will NOT be drawing money away from stocks (the real issue) meanwhile, bond yields will relax a bit, thus helping stocks to the Stock Wagon Train, I must say: NORTHWARD WHOA!!! let's hope some of that strong earnings honey leaks out before Jan options expiration on Jan21st 26 + 7 = 1 / Jim Willie