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To: Math Junkie who wrote (11129)1/13/2000 9:19:00 PM
From: Investor2  Respond to of 15132
 
Re: "I suspect that the 60/40 thing is just a reflection of the indicators not giving a strong enough signal to warrant going to 100% cash."

Valuation is obviously very poor and probably is one of the primary reasons for his call.

Monetary policy - it looks like another interest rate hike is coming on top of the three we just had. Again, this supports his call.

Sentiment is bullish, but it has been worse (e.g., % bullish at 70%). Economic cycle is not as bad as it could be. These two indicators resulted in the partial equity holding.

Just a guess.

I2



To: Math Junkie who wrote (11129)1/13/2000 9:20:00 PM
From: Gary D  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 15132
 
Richard, re: "I recall him saying the opposite, i.e., the market making new highs being one of the prerequisites to a bear call."

I wasn't commenting on whether he said making new highs is a prerequisite to a call for an intermediate correction or bear market. (Although I also heard him say that several months ago). Simply that he said he cannot distinguish between a Bear and an intermediate term correction until the fall is underway. Did anyone else hear him say that, or should I be in a rubber room?<G>