SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Non-Tech : Bill Wexler's Dog Pound -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Graeme Smith who wrote (6109)1/15/2000 8:30:00 PM
From: RockyBalboa  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 10293
 
I recognize your approach as "Bubbles grow bigger and faster as anyone would expect".

Also you may take a look at the Japanese stock markets in the eighties...when the bubble bursted.
Interestingly, before the Japanese market collapsed (it lost about 60%), I remember many people wondering about "japanese P/E ratios" but few expected it to end that bad and occasionally to bottom about nine years later.

An outcome like in Japan would perhaps be worse than a short term correction of about 20, 30% because of its depressing economic effect, instead of the allocative effects of a shortlived bear scenario...

Maybe the feds should short stock after hefty runs and provide buying support in bottoms again..

The only countermeasure I may take is putting some money into OTM Jun and Jan 01 puts.