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Pastimes : Murder Mystery: Who Killed Yale Student Suzanne Jovin? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: MNI who wrote (331)	1/17/2000 3:57:00 AM
From: MNI	Respond to of 1397

Oh sorry, one typo: I wanted to say 'about' instead of 'but' in the driving example context: '(Only for sake of example, not to allude anything about your alcohol use or driving styles.)' Also, don't misunderstand, in many situations, also actions that do depend on human decisions are either 'not totally' correlated, or uncorrelated, leading to joint event probabilities anywhere between 25% and 50% for two events of 50% single occurrence probability each. However, if one knows something about a person's characteristics, prediction probabilities go up to the ceiling of 100% anyway. E.g. when I was 17.5 and coming home late, I could calculate with 98% probability that Mom would await me, even if the same probability among ten moms of ten of my friends seemed to be below 5% .... MNI.

To: MNI who wrote (331)	1/17/2000 2:51:00 PM
From: Janice Shell	Respond to of 1397

But the opposite is true: after you have drunk, your decision whether or not you will drive depends on your earlier decision on whether you drink that additional beer or not. Yes, a bit like Heisenberg's uncertainty principle. Most of us think of a "premeditated" murder as being one planned hours, if not days or weeks, in advance. In the legal sense, however, it can be something you "planned" on the spur of the moment: if, for example, you're arguing with someone, go to the kitchen and get a knife, conceal it on your body just in case, and a few minutes later actually do kill your antagonist, that's "premeditation". It isn't if you just pick up whatever's handy. Are we dealing with premeditation here? I don't know. How many people carry knives with them normally? Nobody I know. Inner city punks do, of course, walk about armed. So: if Suzanne was killed by someone she knew, it was premeditated, if only by a little while. If she was killed by strangers, not necessarily; it could have been as suggested, a robbery gone wrong.