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Pastimes : The Justa & Lars Honors Bob Brinker Investment Club -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: marc ultra who wrote (11260)1/17/2000 10:03:00 PM
From: Alan Bell  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 15132
 
Bob's thinking on whether there will be a bear market or just a serious downturn may focus on whether the inflation prevention measures of the FED drive us into a recession. Twice in MT, he talks about the danger of the FED overshooting the desired "soft landing." These are the last sentences of the "Rising Rates" and "Rapid Growth" sections.

So maybe he can't predict which of two scenarios will unfold at this time. But his actions work in either case.

-- Alan



To: marc ultra who wrote (11260)1/18/2000 1:55:00 AM
From: mister topes  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 15132
 
Did you notice the Barrons summary of Marketimer this weekend? They use the same S&P 1469 trigger point for the benchmark high that appears in the newsetter. Amazing that the S&P is down from the Dec. 31 closing level despite the tremendous inflows of new money during early January. Where did all that selling come from? Some very big chunks of stock for sale when that much money fails to move the price upward and instead it goes even slightly lower. This is one the bulls are ignoring completely but it is out there for all to see.